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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

CastrumFavara v Vibonese: numbers & prediction

1–2
FT
CastrumFavara 18%Draw 19%Vibonese 62% Expected goals 0.90 – 1.93
62%
Betarazi pick

Vibonese to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultVibonese to win ✓62% · @1.65
Double chanceVibonese or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.11

CastrumFavara vs Vibonese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vibonese travel to face CastrumFavara on Sunday 8 November in the Serie D Girone I – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, CastrumFavara are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 11 matches; Vibonese are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

CastrumFavara, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Nissa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Vibonese, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Milazzo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Vibonese, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for CastrumFavara.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give CastrumFavara 0.9 xG, Vibonese 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – CastrumFavara 18%, draw 19%, Vibonese 62%.
  • Lower-risk option: Vibonese or draw (82%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.81.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Vibonese to win (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: CastrumFavara 0–1 Vibonese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

CastrumFavara18%fair 5.49 · @4.30
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.65
Vibonese62%fair 1.60 · @1.65
2.83Expected goals
0.90CastrumFavara xG
1.93Vibonese xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: CastrumFavara 0.9 – 1.9 Vibonese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVibonese to win ✓62%1.601.65
Double chanceVibonese or draw ✓82%1.221.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%2.001.81
Draw no betVibonese (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapVibonese -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.78
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreVibonese to score first64%1.56–
Half-time resultVibonese ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vibonese / FT Vibonese ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.11–

Recent results

CastrumFavara – last 6

LDLWLL
1 Nov@ Nissa1–5L
28 Octvs Reggina2–2D
18 Oct@ Trapani 19050–1L
11 Octvs Igea Virtus3–2W
4 Oct@ Vigor Lamezia0–2L
27 Sepvs Calcio Avola0–1L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Vibonese – last 6

WWDDWW
1 Novvs Milazzo2–1W
25 Oct@ Ragusa3–1W
18 Octvs Gela1–1D
11 Oct@ Reggina1–1D
4 Octvs Digiesse PraiaTortora2–0W
27 Sep@ Nissa2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between CastrumFavara and Vibonese.

CastrumFavara vs Vibonese head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone I table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Reggina11821+2126
2Sambiase11821+1126
3Vibonese11731+1424
4Calcio Avola11614+119
5Milazzo11614+119
6Digiesse PraiaTortora11533+618
7Igea Virtus11533+318
8Gela11443+415
9Siracusa11632+814
10AC Palermo11425-114
11Licata11425-1114
12Modica11416+113
13Nissa11335+112
14Trapani 190511425-59
15CastrumFavara11227-78
16Vigor Lamezia11227-108
17Ragusa11038-143
18Enna11038-233

More Serie D Girone I predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CastrumFavara vs Vibonese?

Our pick is Vibonese to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win CastrumFavara vs Vibonese?

On our numbers CastrumFavara have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Vibonese 62%.

How many goals will there be in CastrumFavara vs Vibonese?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CastrumFavara vs Vibonese?

Our predicted score is CastrumFavara 0–1 Vibonese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is CastrumFavara vs Vibonese?

CastrumFavara vs Vibonese (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.