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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Modica v Licata: numbers & prediction

Modica

WLWLL
5–1
FT

Licata

LLLWW
Modica 41%Draw 23%Licata 36% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.14
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds
2

Value bet: Licata to win @ 3.05 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultModica to win ✓41% · @2.19
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.28

Modica vs Licata: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Modica welcome Licata for a Serie D Girone I fixture on Sunday 8 November (14:30 WAT). In the table, Modica are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Licata are 11th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Modica, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over AC Palermo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Licata, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Digiesse PraiaTortora, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Oct 2026) it ended Modica 1–0 Licata.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Modica 1.2 xG, Licata 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Modica 41%, draw 23%, Licata 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.90.
  • Price worth noting: Licata to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Modica 1–1 Licata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Modica41%fair 2.43 · @2.19
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.08
Licata36%fair 2.79 · @3.05
2.38Expected goals
1.25Modica xG
1.14Licata xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Modica 1.2 – 1.1 Licata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultModica to win ✓41%2.432.19
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.26
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.851.90
Draw no betModica (draw no bet) ✓53%1.87–
Asian handicapLicata +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.481.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.731.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.281.16
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.121.06
First team to scoreModica to score first ✓47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Modica / FT Modica ✓22%4.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.28–

Recent results

Modica – last 6

WLWLLW
4 Novvs AC Palermo2–0W
1 Novvs Gela0–1L
28 Octvs Licata1–0W
25 Oct@ Milazzo0–1L
11 Oct@ Digiesse PraiaTortora1–5L
7 Oct@ Calcio Avola4–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Licata – last 6

LLLWWW
1 Novvs Digiesse PraiaTortora0–1L
28 Oct@ Modica0–1L
25 Oct@ Gela0–4L
18 Octvs Siracusa2–1W
11 Oct@ AC Palermo2–1W
7 Oct@ Trapani 19052–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Oct 2026Modica v Licata1–0
Modica vs Licata head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone I table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Reggina11821+2126
2Sambiase11821+1126
3Vibonese11731+1424
4Calcio Avola11614+119
5Milazzo11614+119
6Digiesse PraiaTortora11533+618
7Igea Virtus11533+318
8Gela11443+415
9Siracusa11632+814
10AC Palermo11425-114
11Licata11425-1114
12Modica11416+113
13Nissa11335+112
14Trapani 190511425-59
15CastrumFavara11227-78
16Vigor Lamezia11227-108
17Ragusa11038-143
18Enna11038-233

More Serie D Girone I predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Modica vs Licata?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Modica vs Licata?

On our numbers Modica have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Licata 36%.

How many goals will there be in Modica vs Licata?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Modica vs Licata?

Our predicted score is Modica 1–1 Licata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Modica vs Licata?

Modica vs Licata (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.