Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
2
Value bet: Licata to win @ 3.05 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultModica to win ✓41% · @2.19
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.28
Modica vs Licata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Modica welcome Licata for a Serie D Girone I fixture on Sunday 8 November (14:30 WAT). In the table, Modica are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Licata are 11th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Modica, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over AC Palermo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Licata, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Digiesse PraiaTortora, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Oct 2026) it ended Modica 1–0 Licata.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Modica 1.2 xG, Licata 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Modica 41%, draw 23%, Licata 36%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Licata to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Modica 1–1 Licata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Modica41%fair 2.43 · @2.19
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.08
Licata36%fair 2.79 · @3.05
2.38Expected goals
1.25Modica xG
1.14Licata xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Modica 1.2 – 1.1 Licata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Modica vs Licata?
On our numbers Modica have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Licata 36%.
How many goals will there be in Modica vs Licata?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Modica vs Licata?
Our predicted score is Modica 1–1 Licata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Modica vs Licata?
Modica vs Licata (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.