Value bet: Gela to win @ 2.61 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGela to win ✓41% · @2.61
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.07
Gela vs Calcio Avola: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Calcio Avola travel to face Gela on Sunday 8 November in the Serie D Girone I – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Gela are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Calcio Avola are 4th (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Gela, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Modica, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Calcio Avola, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Siracusa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gela 1.3 xG, Calcio Avola 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gela 41%, draw 23%, Calcio Avola 36%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Gela to win @2.61 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gela 1–1 Calcio Avola. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gela41%fair 2.46 · @2.61
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.08
Calcio Avola36%fair 2.74 · @2.41
2.50Expected goals
1.29Gela xG
1.20Calcio Avola xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gela 1.3 – 1.2 Calcio Avola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gela to win✓
41%
2.46
2.61 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.73
Draw no bet
Gela (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Calcio Avola +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.09
First team to score
Gela to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gela / FT Gela✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.07
–
Recent results
Gela – last 6
WWDDDL
1 Nov
@ Modica
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs Licata
4–0
W
18 Oct
@ Vibonese
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Milazzo
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs AC Palermo
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Digiesse PraiaTortora
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Calcio Avola – last 6
WLDWLW
1 Nov
vs Siracusa
4–2
W
25 Oct
@ AC Palermo
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Sambiase
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Enna
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Modica
0–4
L
4 Oct
vs Ragusa
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gela and Calcio Avola.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Gela vs Calcio Avola?
On our numbers Gela have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Calcio Avola 36%.
How many goals will there be in Gela vs Calcio Avola?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gela vs Calcio Avola?
Our predicted score is Gela 1–1 Calcio Avola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gela vs Calcio Avola?
Gela vs Calcio Avola (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
