Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Ternana to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTernana to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceTernana or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.62
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 5.10
Mezzolara vs Ternana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mezzolara welcome Ternana for a Serie D Girone E fixture on Wednesday 16 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Mezzolara are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Ternana are 3rd (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
Ternana, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gavorrano, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mezzolara 0.6 xG, Ternana 1.3 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mezzolara 17%, draw 26%, Ternana 57%.
Lower-risk option: Ternana or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Ternana to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ternana or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mezzolara 0–1 Ternana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mezzolara17%fair 5.79 · @3.60
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.20
Ternana57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
1.93Expected goals
0.58Mezzolara xG
1.35Ternana xG
40%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–120%
0–015%
0–213%
1–111%
1–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Mezzolara 0.6 – 1.3 Ternana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ternana to win✗
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Ternana or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
–
Draw no bet
Ternana (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Mezzolara +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Ternana to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ternana / FT Ternana✗
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
5.10
–
Recent results
Mezzolara – last 2
LD
12 Sep
@ Robur Siena
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs Rondinella
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ternana – last 6
DLLDLD
12 Sep
vs Gavorrano
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Prato
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Pianese
1–3
L
12 Apr
vs Perugia
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Juventus U23
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs Sambenedettese
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mezzolara and Ternana.
Our pick is Ternana or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mezzolara vs Ternana?
On our numbers Mezzolara have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ternana 57%.
How many goals will there be in Mezzolara vs Ternana?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mezzolara vs Ternana?
Our predicted score is Mezzolara 0–1 Ternana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Mezzolara vs Ternana?
Mezzolara vs Ternana (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
