Seravezza 58%Draw 23%Montevarchi Calcio 19%Expected goals 2.06 – 1.11
58%
Betarazi pick
Seravezza to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.30 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSeravezza to win ✗58% · @1.70
Double chanceSeravezza or draw ✓81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 16.30
Seravezza vs Montevarchi Calcio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 16 September the Serie D Girone E brings Seravezza against Montevarchi Calcio. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Seravezza are 10th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Montevarchi Calcio are 9th (upper half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Seravezza, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Lucchese, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Montevarchi Calcio, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Tau Altopascio, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Seravezza, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Montevarchi Calcio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Seravezza 2.1 xG, Montevarchi Calcio 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 51% and GG at 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Seravezza 58%, draw 23%, Montevarchi Calcio 19%.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Seravezza to win (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Seravezza 2–1 Montevarchi Calcio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Seravezza58%fair 1.71 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Montevarchi Calcio19%fair 5.31 · @4.50
3.16Expected goals
2.06Seravezza xG
1.11Montevarchi Calcio xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Seravezza 2.1 – 1.1 Montevarchi Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Seravezza to win✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Double chance
Seravezza or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Seravezza (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Montevarchi Calcio +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
2.30 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Seravezza to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Seravezza ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Seravezza / FT Seravezza✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
6%
16.30
–
Recent results
Seravezza – last 6
WLDWDD
12 Sep
vs Lucchese
5–0
W
6 Sep
@ San Donato Tavarnelle
1–2
L
14 Aug
vs Pistoiese
0–0
D
17 May
@ Prato
2–1
W
3 May
@ San Donato Tavarnelle
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Foligno Calcio
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Montevarchi Calcio – last 6
WLDLDD
12 Sep
vs Tau Altopascio
4–1
W
6 Sep
@ Lucchese
1–2
L
19 Aug
vs Figline
0–0
D
3 May
@ Prato
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Robur Siena
0–0
D
2 Apr
@ Sansepolcro
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Seravezza and Montevarchi Calcio.
What is the prediction for Seravezza vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Our pick is Seravezza to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Seravezza vs Montevarchi Calcio?
On our numbers Seravezza have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Montevarchi Calcio 19%.
How many goals will there be in Seravezza vs Montevarchi Calcio?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Seravezza vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Our predicted score is Seravezza 2–1 Montevarchi Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Seravezza vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Seravezza vs Montevarchi Calcio (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
