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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Montevarchi Calcio v Sasso Marconi Zola: numbers & prediction

Montevarchi Calcio 43%Draw 23%Sasso Marconi Zola 34% Expected goals 1.44 – 1.24
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.77Odds

Picks by market

ResultMontevarchi Calcio to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.36

Montevarchi Calcio vs Sasso Marconi Zola: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 November the Serie D Girone E brings Montevarchi Calcio against Sasso Marconi Zola. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Montevarchi Calcio are 9th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Sasso Marconi Zola are 13th (lower half) with 11.

Current form

Montevarchi Calcio, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to San Donato Tavarnelle, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sasso Marconi Zola, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Progresso, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Montevarchi Calcio 1.4 xG, Sasso Marconi Zola 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Montevarchi Calcio 43%, draw 23%, Sasso Marconi Zola 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.77). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montevarchi Calcio 1–1 Sasso Marconi Zola. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Montevarchi Calcio43%fair 2.32 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Sasso Marconi Zola34%fair 2.94 · @3.10
2.68Expected goals
1.44Montevarchi Calcio xG
1.24Sasso Marconi Zola xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Montevarchi Calcio 1.4 – 1.2 Sasso Marconi Zola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMontevarchi Calcio to win ✓43%2.322.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.801.77
Draw no betMontevarchi Calcio (draw no bet) ✓56%1.79–
Asian handicapSasso Marconi Zola +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreMontevarchi Calcio to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Montevarchi Calcio / FT Montevarchi Calcio ✗24%4.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.36–

Recent results

Montevarchi Calcio – last 6

LWWLLW
1 Nov@ San Donato Tavarnelle0–1L
25 Octvs Grassina1–0W
18 Oct@ Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano3–0W
11 Octvs Rondinella0–1L
4 Oct@ Ternana1–4L
27 Sepvs Progresso2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sasso Marconi Zola – last 6

WLLWDW
1 Novvs Progresso4–0W
28 Oct@ Piacenza0–2L
25 Oct@ Tau Altopascio1–2L
18 Octvs Lucchese2–0W
11 Oct@ Mezzolara2–2D
7 Octvs Cittadella Vis Modena1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Montevarchi Calcio and Sasso Marconi Zola.

Montevarchi Calcio vs Sasso Marconi Zola head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone E table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Prato11740+1325
2Robur Siena11713+1422
3Ternana11632+1221
4Gavorrano11560+721
5Flaminia11542+219
6Lucchese11533+318
7Terranuova Traiana11452+417
8Tau Altopascio11524-417
9Montevarchi Calcio11515+216
10Seravezza11434+515
11Scandicci11434+315
12San Donato Tavarnelle11425-214
13Sasso Marconi Zola11326-211
14Mezzolara11182-611
15Rondinella11245-810
16Grassina11146-117
17Progresso11209-166
18Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano11038-163

More Serie D Girone E predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montevarchi Calcio vs Sasso Marconi Zola?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.

Who will win Montevarchi Calcio vs Sasso Marconi Zola?

On our numbers Montevarchi Calcio have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sasso Marconi Zola 34%.

How many goals will there be in Montevarchi Calcio vs Sasso Marconi Zola?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Montevarchi Calcio vs Sasso Marconi Zola?

Our predicted score is Montevarchi Calcio 1–1 Sasso Marconi Zola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Montevarchi Calcio vs Sasso Marconi Zola?

Montevarchi Calcio vs Sasso Marconi Zola (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.