Robur Siena 66%Draw 20%Grassina 14%Expected goals 2.02 – 0.80
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.39 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.39Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.96 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRobur Siena to win ✓66% · @1.28
Double chanceRobur Siena or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Robur Siena vs Grassina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Robur Siena welcome Grassina for a Serie D Girone E fixture on Sunday 8 November (14:30 WAT). In the table, Robur Siena are 2nd, among the top four, on 22 points after 11 matches; Grassina are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Robur Siena, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Grassina, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rondinella, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Robur Siena, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Grassina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Robur Siena 2.0 xG, Grassina 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Robur Siena 66%, draw 20%, Grassina 14%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.96.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.96 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Robur Siena 2–0 Grassina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Robur Siena66%fair 1.52 · @1.28
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.55
Grassina14%fair 7.28 · @8.10
2.82Expected goals
2.02Robur Siena xG
0.80Grassina xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Robur Siena 2.0 – 0.8 Grassina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Robur Siena to win✓
66%
1.52
1.28
Double chance
Robur Siena or draw✓
86%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.96 ▲
Draw no bet
Robur Siena (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Robur Siena -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.39
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.12
First team to score
Robur Siena to score first✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Robur Siena ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Robur Siena / FT Robur Siena✓
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Robur Siena – last 6
WDWLWW
1 Nov
@ Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
4–0
W
28 Oct
vs Ancona
2–2
D
25 Oct
vs Rondinella
1–0
W
18 Oct
@ Ternana
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Progresso
1–0
W
7 Oct
@ Flaminia
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Grassina – last 6
DLWDLD
1 Nov
vs Rondinella
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Montevarchi Calcio
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Progresso
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Tau Altopascio
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Lucchese
3–6
L
27 Sep
@ Mezzolara
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Robur Siena and Grassina.
What is the prediction for Robur Siena vs Grassina?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Robur Siena vs Grassina?
On our numbers Robur Siena have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Grassina 14%.
How many goals will there be in Robur Siena vs Grassina?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Robur Siena vs Grassina?
Our predicted score is Robur Siena 2–0 Grassina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Robur Siena vs Grassina?
Robur Siena vs Grassina (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
