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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Nocerina v Ischia: numbers & prediction

3–2
FT

Ischia

DLLWW
Nocerina 64%Draw 21%Ischia 15% Expected goals 1.89 – 0.78
64%
Betarazi pick

Nocerina to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultNocerina to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chanceNocerina or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.68

Nocerina vs Ischia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Wednesday 16 September: Nocerina v Ischia in the Serie D Girone H. In the table, Nocerina are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Ischia are 16th (in the drop zone) with 9.

Current form

Nocerina, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Manfredonia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Ischia, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Real Normanna, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ischia, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Nocerina.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Nocerina 0–1 Ischia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nocerina 1.9 xG, Ischia 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Nocerina 64%, draw 21%, Ischia 15%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Nocerina to win (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nocerina 1–0 Ischia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nocerina64%fair 1.56 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Ischia15%fair 6.59 · @4.75
2.68Expected goals
1.89Nocerina xG
0.78Ischia xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Nocerina 1.9 – 0.8 Ischia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNocerina to win ✓64%1.561.67 ▲
Double chanceNocerina or draw ✓85%1.181.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.87–
Draw no betNocerina (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapNocerina -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreNocerina to score first66%1.52–
Half-time resultNocerina ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nocerina / FT Nocerina ✗40%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.68–

Recent results

Nocerina – last 6

DWLLDD
12 Sep@ Manfredonia2–2D
6 Sepvs Ebolitana2–1W
3 Mayvs Ischia0–1L
26 Apr@ Monastir0–1L
19 Aprvs Flaminia1–1D
2 Aprvs Latte Dolce0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ischia – last 6

DLLWWW
12 Sepvs Real Normanna2–2D
6 Sep@ Francavilla0–1L
31 Jul@ Juve Stabia1–5L
10 Mayvs Olbia2–1W
3 May@ Nocerina1–0W
26 Aprvs Montespaccato1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Nocerina v Ischia0–1
Nocerina vs Ischia head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone H table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Virtus Francavilla11902+927
2Martina Franca11713+922
3Brindisi11704+621
4Gravina11551+720
5Turris11542+519
6Manfredonia11533+418
7Gladiator11533+118
8Fidelis Andria11524+117
9Bisceglie11506015
10USD Palmese11425-114
11Real Normanna11353-114
12Nocerina11416-213
13Real Forio 201411326-311
14Melfi11326-811
15Ebolitana11245-810
16Ischia11236-49
17Francavilla11227-68
18Nardò11236-97

More Serie D Girone H predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nocerina vs Ischia?

Our pick is Nocerina to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Nocerina vs Ischia?

On our numbers Nocerina have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ischia 15%.

How many goals will there be in Nocerina vs Ischia?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nocerina vs Ischia?

Our predicted score is Nocerina 1–0 Ischia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Nocerina vs Ischia?

Nocerina vs Ischia (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.