Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultVirtus Francavilla to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceVirtus Francavilla or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.94
Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Wednesday 16 September: Virtus Francavilla v Brindisi in the Serie D Girone H, played at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II. In the table, Virtus Francavilla are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 11 matches; Brindisi are 3rd (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
Virtus Francavilla, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Melfi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Virtus Francavilla 1.8 xG, Brindisi 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Virtus Francavilla 60%, draw 23%, Brindisi 18%.
Lower-risk option: Virtus Francavilla or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Virtus Francavilla to win (60%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Virtus Francavilla 1–0 Brindisi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Virtus Francavilla60%fair 1.68 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Brindisi18%fair 5.65 · @3.80
2.66Expected goals
1.80Virtus Francavilla xG
0.86Brindisi xG
46%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Virtus Francavilla 1.8 – 0.9 Brindisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus Francavilla to win✓
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Virtus Francavilla or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Virtus Francavilla (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Brindisi +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Virtus Francavilla to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Virtus Francavilla ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Virtus Francavilla / FT Virtus Francavilla✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.94
–
Recent results
Virtus Francavilla – last 6
WWDLLD
13 Sep
@ Melfi
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs USD Palmese
3–1
W
3 May
vs Sarnese
2–2
D
26 Apr
@ Pompei
1–4
L
19 Apr
vs Francavilla
0–3
L
2 Apr
@ Afragolese
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Brindisi – last 2
WL
12 Sep
vs Fidelis Andria
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Real Forio 2014
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Francavilla and Brindisi.
What is the prediction for Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi?
Our pick is Virtus Francavilla to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi?
On our numbers Virtus Francavilla have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Brindisi 18%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi?
Our predicted score is Virtus Francavilla 1–0 Brindisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi?
Virtus Francavilla vs Brindisi (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
