Turris 56%Draw 25%Gravina 19%Expected goals 2.02 – 1.14
81%
Betarazi pick
Turris or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTurris to win ✗56% · @1.90
Double chanceTurris or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Turris vs Gravina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Turris welcome Gravina to Stadio Amerigo Liguori for a Serie D Girone H fixture on Wednesday 16 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, Turris are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Gravina are 4th (among the top four) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gravina, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Gladiator, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Turris 2.0 xG, Gravina 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Turris 56%, draw 25%, Gravina 19%.
Lower-risk option: Turris or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Turris or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Turris 2–1 Gravina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Turris56%fair 1.79 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.40
Gravina19%fair 5.26 · @3.40
3.16Expected goals
2.02Turris xG
1.14Gravina xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Turris 2.0 – 1.1 Gravina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Turris to win✗
56%
1.79
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Turris or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Turris (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Gravina +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Turris to score first✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Turris ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Turris / FT Turris✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Turris – last 2
DW
13 Sep
@ USD Palmese
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Martina Franca
4–3
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gravina – last 6
WWWWWD
12 Sep
vs Gladiator
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Fidelis Andria
3–1
W
3 May
vs Real Normanna
3–2
W
26 Apr
@ Afragolese
6–0
W
19 Apr
vs Paganese
1–0
W
2 Apr
vs Martina Franca
0–0
D
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Turris and Gravina.
Our pick is Turris or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Turris vs Gravina?
On our numbers Turris have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gravina 19%.
How many goals will there be in Turris vs Gravina?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Turris vs Gravina?
Our predicted score is Turris 2–1 Gravina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Turris vs Gravina?
Turris vs Gravina (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Amerigo Liguori.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
