Value bet: Turris to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTurris to win ✗62% · @1.75
Double chanceTurris or draw ✗85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.03
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.72
Nardò vs Turris: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Serie D Girone H brings Nardò against Turris. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Nardò are 18th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Turris are 5th (upper half) with 19. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nardò, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gladiator, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Turris, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Virtus Francavilla, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Turris, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Nardò.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nardò 0.7 xG, Turris 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nardò 15%, draw 23%, Turris 62%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.03.
Price worth noting: Turris to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nardò 0–2 Turris. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nardò15%fair 6.70 · @4.58
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.14
Turris62%fair 1.62 · @1.75
2.47Expected goals
0.72Nardò xG
1.74Turris xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Nardò 0.7 – 1.7 Turris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Turris to win✗
62%
1.62
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Turris or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.03 ▲
Draw no bet
Turris (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Turris -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.56
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.16
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.05
First team to score
Turris to score first✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Turris ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Turris / FT Turris✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
Nardò – last 6
LLLDLL
1 Nov
@ Gladiator
1–2
L
25 Oct
vs Fidelis Andria
1–3
L
18 Oct
@ Brindisi
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Gravina
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ USD Palmese
2–4
L
27 Sep
vs Martina Franca
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Turris – last 6
LDDWWD
1 Nov
vs Virtus Francavilla
1–2
L
28 Oct
vs Certosa V. Campagnano
0–0
D
25 Oct
@ Real Normanna
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Real Forio 2014
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs Manfredonia
3–0
W
7 Oct
@ Nocerina
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nardò and Turris.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Nardò vs Turris?
On our numbers Nardò have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Turris 62%.
How many goals will there be in Nardò vs Turris?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nardò vs Turris?
Our predicted score is Nardò 0–2 Turris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nardò vs Turris?
Nardò vs Turris (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
