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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Melfi v Brindisi: numbers & prediction

Melfi

LDWLL
2–1
FT
Melfi 26%Draw 23%Brindisi 51% Expected goals 0.89 – 1.40
57%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultBrindisi to win ✗51% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.09

Melfi vs Brindisi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Brindisi travel to face Melfi on Sunday 8 November in the Serie D Girone H – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Melfi are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Brindisi are 3rd (among the top four) with 21.

Current form

Melfi, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Manfredonia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Brindisi, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ebolitana, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Brindisi, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.7 for Melfi.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Melfi 0.9 xG, Brindisi 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Melfi 26%, draw 23%, Brindisi 51%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.82.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Melfi 0–1 Brindisi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Melfi26%fair 3.82 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.15
Brindisi51%fair 1.96 · @2.00
2.30Expected goals
0.89Melfi xG
1.40Brindisi xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%

From our goals model: Melfi 0.9 – 1.4 Brindisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBrindisi to win ✗51%1.962.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.851.82
Draw no betBrindisi (draw no bet) ✗66%1.51–
Asian handicapMelfi +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗57%1.751.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreBrindisi to score first55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Brindisi / FT Brindisi ✗29%3.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.09–

Recent results

Melfi – last 6

LDWLLL
1 Nov@ Manfredonia0–3L
25 Octvs USD Palmese2–2D
17 Octvs Bisceglie1–0W
11 Oct@ Ischia0–3L
4 Octvs Nocerina0–1L
27 Sep@ Ebolitana0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Brindisi – last 6

WWWWWW
1 Novvs Ebolitana2–0W
25 Oct@ Bisceglie2–0W
18 Octvs Nardò2–0W
11 Oct@ Nocerina1–0W
4 Octvs Real Normanna3–0W
27 Sep@ Francavilla1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Melfi and Brindisi.

Melfi vs Brindisi head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone H table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Virtus Francavilla11902+927
2Martina Franca11713+922
3Brindisi11704+621
4Gravina11551+720
5Turris11542+519
6Manfredonia11533+418
7Gladiator11533+118
8Fidelis Andria11524+117
9Bisceglie11506015
10USD Palmese11425-114
11Real Normanna11353-114
12Nocerina11416-213
13Real Forio 201411326-311
14Melfi11326-811
15Ebolitana11245-810
16Ischia11236-49
17Francavilla11227-68
18Nardò11236-97

More Serie D Girone H predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Melfi vs Brindisi?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Melfi vs Brindisi?

On our numbers Melfi have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Brindisi 51%.

How many goals will there be in Melfi vs Brindisi?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Melfi vs Brindisi?

Our predicted score is Melfi 0–1 Brindisi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Melfi vs Brindisi?

Melfi vs Brindisi (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.