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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Francavilla v Virtus Francavilla: numbers & prediction

0–1
FT
Francavilla 17%Draw 21%Virtus Francavilla 62% Expected goals 0.75 – 1.72
62%
Betarazi pick

Virtus Francavilla to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.78 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.78Odds

Picks by market

ResultVirtus Francavilla to win ✓62% · @1.78
Double chanceVirtus Francavilla or draw ✓83% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.65

Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Francavilla v Virtus Francavilla in the Serie D Girone H. In the table, Francavilla are 17th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; Virtus Francavilla are 1st (leading the league) with 27. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Francavilla, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fidelis Andria, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Virtus Francavilla, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Turris, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Virtus Francavilla, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Francavilla.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Virtus Francavilla 0–3 Francavilla.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Francavilla 0.8 xG, Virtus Francavilla 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Francavilla 17%, draw 21%, Virtus Francavilla 62%.
  • Lower-risk option: Virtus Francavilla or draw (83%) at 1.19.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.86.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Virtus Francavilla to win (62%, odds 1.78 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Francavilla 0–1 Virtus Francavilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Francavilla17%fair 5.76 · @4.20
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.25
Virtus Francavilla62%fair 1.62 · @1.78
2.47Expected goals
0.75Francavilla xG
1.72Virtus Francavilla xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%

From our goals model: Francavilla 0.8 – 1.7 Virtus Francavilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVirtus Francavilla to win ✓62%1.621.78 ▲
Double chanceVirtus Francavilla or draw ✓83%1.211.19
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.86
Draw no betVirtus Francavilla (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapVirtus Francavilla -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreVirtus Francavilla to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Virtus Francavilla / FT Virtus Francavilla ✗38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.65–

Recent results

Francavilla – last 6

LWDDLL
1 Nov@ Fidelis Andria0–2L
25 Octvs Real Forio 20142–1W
18 Oct@ Gravina1–1D
11 Octvs Gladiator1–1D
4 Oct@ Martina Franca0–1L
27 Sepvs Brindisi0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Virtus Francavilla – last 6

WWWLWW
1 Nov@ Turris2–1W
28 Oct@ Fidelis Andria1–0W
25 Octvs Manfredonia2–0W
18 Oct@ Fidelis Andria1–2L
11 Octvs Real Forio 20142–0W
7 Octvs Gravina3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Virtus Francavilla v Francavilla0–3
Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone H table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Virtus Francavilla11902+927
2Martina Franca11713+922
3Brindisi11704+621
4Gravina11551+720
5Turris11542+519
6Manfredonia11533+418
7Gladiator11533+118
8Fidelis Andria11524+117
9Bisceglie11506015
10USD Palmese11425-114
11Real Normanna11353-114
12Nocerina11416-213
13Real Forio 201411326-311
14Melfi11326-811
15Ebolitana11245-810
16Ischia11236-49
17Francavilla11227-68
18Nardò11236-97

More Serie D Girone H predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla?

Our pick is Virtus Francavilla to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.78.

Who will win Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla?

On our numbers Francavilla have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Virtus Francavilla 62%.

How many goals will there be in Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla?

Our predicted score is Francavilla 0–1 Virtus Francavilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla?

Francavilla vs Virtus Francavilla (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.