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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Maceratese v Ancona: numbers & prediction

0–1
FT

Ancona

LWDWL
Maceratese 19%Draw 22%Ancona 58% Expected goals 0.82 – 1.66
58%
Betarazi pick

Ancona to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultAncona to win ✓58% · @1.67
Double chanceAncona or draw ✓81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.21

Maceratese vs Ancona: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Maceratese welcome Ancona for a Serie D Girone F fixture on Wednesday 16 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Maceratese are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Ancona are 3rd (among the top four) with 21.

Current form

Maceratese, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atletico Ascoli, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Ancona, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Montecchio Gallo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ancona, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Maceratese.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Ancona 4–0 Maceratese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Maceratese 0.8 xG, Ancona 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Maceratese 19%, draw 22%, Ancona 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ancona to win (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maceratese 0–1 Ancona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Maceratese19%fair 5.15 · @4.50
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.40
Ancona58%fair 1.72 · @1.67
2.48Expected goals
0.82Maceratese xG
1.66Ancona xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
1–07%

From our goals model: Maceratese 0.8 – 1.7 Ancona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAncona to win ✓58%1.721.67
Double chanceAncona or draw ✓81%1.241.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Draw no betAncona (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapMaceratese +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreAncona to score first ✓61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ancona / FT Ancona ✓35%2.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14%7.21–

Recent results

Maceratese – last 6

LLLDLD
13 Sep@ Atletico Ascoli1–2L
6 Sepvs Teramo0–3L
3 May@ Chieti0–1L
26 Aprvs Real Giulianova1–1D
19 Apr@ Unipomezia0–3L
2 Apr@ Castelfidardo Calcio2–2D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ancona – last 6

LWDWLW
13 Sepvs Montecchio Gallo0–1L
6 Sep@ Notaresco2–1W
3 Mayvs Notaresco1–1D
19 Aprvs Sammaurese3–0W
2 Aprvs Teramo0–2L
29 Mar@ Vigor Senigallia1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Ancona v Maceratese4–0
Maceratese vs Ancona head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone F table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Teramo11821+1326
2L'Aquila11740+1325
3Ancona11632+1021
4Foligno Calcio11623+320
5Vigor Senigallia11614-119
6Fossombrone11524-217
7Montecchio Gallo11443+316
8Notaresco11443+216
9Real Giulianova11515016
10Atletico Ascoli11434+215
11Termoli Calcio11344-113
12Lanciano FC11335-312
13Maceratese11335-412
14Sporting Trestina11326-711
15Recanatese11236-59
16Pietralunga11236-69
17Santegidiese11236-89
18Angelana11218-97

More Serie D Girone F predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Maceratese vs Ancona?

Our pick is Ancona to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Maceratese vs Ancona?

On our numbers Maceratese have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ancona 58%.

How many goals will there be in Maceratese vs Ancona?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Maceratese vs Ancona?

Our predicted score is Maceratese 0–1 Ancona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Maceratese vs Ancona?

Maceratese vs Ancona (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.