Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.34
Recanatese vs Maceratese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Maceratese travel to face Recanatese on Sunday 4 October in the Serie D Girone F, with Nicola Tubaldi the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Recanatese are 15th, lower half, on 9 points after 11 matches; Maceratese are 13th (lower half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Recanatese, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Lanciano FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Maceratese, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Santegidiese, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Recanatese, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Maceratese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Recanatese 1.3 xG, Maceratese 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Recanatese 43%, draw 23%, Maceratese 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Recanatese 1–1 Maceratese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Recanatese43%fair 2.32 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Maceratese34%fair 2.94 · @3.10
2.36Expected goals
1.27Recanatese xG
1.09Maceratese xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Recanatese 1.3 – 1.1 Maceratese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Recanatese to win✗
43%
2.32
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Recanatese (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Maceratese +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Recanatese to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Recanatese / FT Recanatese✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.34
–
Recent results
Recanatese – last 6
LDWDDW
27 Sep
@ Lanciano FC
1–4
L
20 Sep
vs Montecchio Gallo
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Foligno Calcio
4–1
W
13 Sep
@ Santegidiese
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Pietralunga
0–0
D
17 May
vs Victor San Marino
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maceratese – last 6
DWLLLL
27 Sep
vs Santegidiese
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Pietralunga
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Ancona
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Atletico Ascoli
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Teramo
0–3
L
3 May
@ Chieti
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Recanatese and Maceratese.
What is the prediction for Recanatese vs Maceratese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Recanatese vs Maceratese?
On our numbers Recanatese have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Maceratese 34%.
How many goals will there be in Recanatese vs Maceratese?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recanatese vs Maceratese?
Our predicted score is Recanatese 1–1 Maceratese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Recanatese vs Maceratese?
Recanatese vs Maceratese (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Nicola Tubaldi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
