Value bet: Ancona to win @ 1.69 – our chance 63% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAncona to win ✓63% · @1.69
Double chanceAncona or draw ✓84% · fair 1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Ancona vs Atletico Ascoli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 November the Serie D Girone F brings Ancona against Atletico Ascoli at Stadio del Conero. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Ancona are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Atletico Ascoli are 10th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Ancona, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Robur Siena, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Atletico Ascoli, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Termoli Calcio, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ancona 1.9 xG, Atletico Ascoli 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ancona 63%, draw 21%, Atletico Ascoli 16%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.84.
Price worth noting: Ancona to win @1.69 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ancona 2–0 Atletico Ascoli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ancona63%fair 1.59 · @1.69
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.50
Atletico Ascoli16%fair 6.29 · @4.73
2.71Expected goals
1.89Ancona xG
0.82Atletico Ascoli xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ancona 1.9 – 0.8 Atletico Ascoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ancona to win✓
63%
1.59
1.69 ▲
Double chance
Ancona or draw✓
84%
1.19
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.84
Draw no bet
Ancona (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Ancona -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.37
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Ancona to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Ancona ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ancona / FT Ancona✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Ancona – last 6
DWLWDW
28 Oct
@ Robur Siena
2–2
D
25 Oct
@ Vigor Senigallia
5–0
W
18 Oct
vs Fossombrone
2–3
L
11 Oct
@ Real Giulianova
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Fossombrone
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Sporting Trestina
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico Ascoli – last 6
DWWLLW
25 Oct
@ Termoli Calcio
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Lanciano FC
5–1
W
11 Oct
@ Vigor Senigallia
2–1
W
4 Oct
vs Fossombrone
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Real Giulianova
2–4
L
20 Sep
vs Sporting Trestina
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ancona and Atletico Ascoli.
What is the prediction for Ancona vs Atletico Ascoli?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ancona vs Atletico Ascoli?
On our numbers Ancona have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atletico Ascoli 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ancona vs Atletico Ascoli?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ancona vs Atletico Ascoli?
Our predicted score is Ancona 2–0 Atletico Ascoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ancona vs Atletico Ascoli?
Ancona vs Atletico Ascoli (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio del Conero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
