Value bet: Notaresco to win @ 3.56 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultL'Aquila to win ✗46% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · fair 1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.96
Notaresco vs L'Aquila: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
L'Aquila travel to face Notaresco on Sunday 1 November in the Serie D Girone F – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Notaresco are 8th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; L'Aquila are 2nd (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Notaresco, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lanciano FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
L'Aquila, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Real Normanna, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Momentum favours L'Aquila, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Notaresco.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended L'Aquila 0–2 Notaresco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Notaresco 1.1 xG, L'Aquila 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Notaresco 30%, draw 23%, L'Aquila 46%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Notaresco to win @3.56 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Notaresco 1–1 L'Aquila. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Notaresco30%fair 3.31 · @3.56
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.05
L'Aquila46%fair 2.16 · @2.06
2.64Expected goals
1.14Notaresco xG
1.49L'Aquila xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Notaresco 1.1 – 1.5 L'Aquila expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Notaresco vs L'Aquila?
On our numbers Notaresco have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and L'Aquila 46%.
How many goals will there be in Notaresco vs L'Aquila?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notaresco vs L'Aquila?
Our predicted score is Notaresco 1–1 L'Aquila, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Notaresco vs L'Aquila?
Notaresco vs L'Aquila (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
