Value bet: Recanatese to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRecanatese to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.97
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Recanatese vs Sporting Trestina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sporting Trestina travel to face Recanatese on Sunday 1 November in the Serie D Girone F, with Nicola Tubaldi the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Recanatese are 15th, lower half, on 9 points after 11 matches; Sporting Trestina are 14th (lower half) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Recanatese, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Angelana, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Sporting Trestina, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Santegidiese, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sporting Trestina, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Recanatese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Recanatese 1.6 xG, Sporting Trestina 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Recanatese 55%, draw 22%, Sporting Trestina 24%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.97.
Price worth noting: Recanatese to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Recanatese 1–0 Sporting Trestina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Recanatese55%fair 1.83 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.30
Sporting Trestina24%fair 4.25 · @3.60
2.52Expected goals
1.59Recanatese xG
0.93Sporting Trestina xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Recanatese 1.6 – 0.9 Sporting Trestina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Recanatese to win✗
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.97
Draw no bet
Recanatese (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Trestina +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Recanatese to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Recanatese / FT Recanatese✗
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Recanatese – last 6
WLLLLL
25 Oct
@ Angelana
1–0
W
21 Oct
@ Ternana
1–5
L
18 Oct
vs L'Aquila
2–3
L
10 Oct
@ Notaresco
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Maceratese
2–3
L
27 Sep
@ Lanciano FC
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sporting Trestina – last 6
WLLLWL
25 Oct
vs Santegidiese
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Pietralunga
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Teramo
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ Ancona
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Termoli Calcio
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Atletico Ascoli
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Recanatese and Sporting Trestina.
What is the prediction for Recanatese vs Sporting Trestina?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Recanatese vs Sporting Trestina?
On our numbers Recanatese have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sporting Trestina 24%.
How many goals will there be in Recanatese vs Sporting Trestina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Recanatese vs Sporting Trestina?
Our predicted score is Recanatese 1–0 Sporting Trestina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Recanatese vs Sporting Trestina?
Recanatese vs Sporting Trestina (Serie D Girone F) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Nicola Tubaldi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
