Value bet: Trastevere to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTrastevere to win ✓44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Atletico Lodigiani vs Trastevere: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Atletico Lodigiani v Trastevere in the Serie D Girone G. In the table, Atletico Lodigiani are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 11 matches; Trastevere are 2nd (among the top four) with 18. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Lodigiani, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Certosa V. Campagnano, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Trastevere, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Paganese, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Trastevere, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Atletico Lodigiani.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Atletico Lodigiani 1–2 Trastevere.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Lodigiani 1.5 xG, Trastevere 1.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Lodigiani 34%, draw 22%, Trastevere 44%.
Price worth noting: Trastevere to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.74, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Lodigiani 1–2 Trastevere. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Lodigiani34%fair 2.92 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Trastevere44%fair 2.27 · @2.45
3.21Expected goals
1.49Atletico Lodigiani xG
1.72Trastevere xG
55%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Atletico Lodigiani 1.5 – 1.7 Trastevere expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Lodigiani vs Trastevere?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Atletico Lodigiani vs Trastevere?
On our numbers Atletico Lodigiani have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Trastevere 44%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Lodigiani vs Trastevere?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Lodigiani vs Trastevere?
Our predicted score is Atletico Lodigiani 1–2 Trastevere, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Atletico Lodigiani vs Trastevere?
Atletico Lodigiani vs Trastevere (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
