Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.01 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAfragolese to win ✗57% · @1.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.01
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.71
Città di Anagni vs Afragolese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the Serie D Girone G brings Città di Anagni against Afragolese. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Città di Anagni are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Afragolese are 8th (upper half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Città di Anagni, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Latte Dolce, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Afragolese, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Venafro, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Città di Anagni 0.9 xG, Afragolese 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Città di Anagni 23%, draw 20%, Afragolese 57%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.01.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.01 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Città di Anagni 0–1 Afragolese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Città di Anagni23%fair 4.31 · @3.90
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.50
Afragolese57%fair 1.76 · @1.82
2.43Expected goals
0.86Città di Anagni xG
1.57Afragolese xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: Città di Anagni 0.9 – 1.6 Afragolese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Afragolese to win✗
57%
1.76
1.82
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
2.01 ▲
Draw no bet
Afragolese (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Città di Anagni +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Afragolese to score first✗
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Afragolese / FT Afragolese✗
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.71
–
Recent results
Città di Anagni – last 4
WLLL
20 Sep
@ Latte Dolce
2–1
W
16 Sep
vs Unipomezia
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Albalonga
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Certosa V. Campagnano
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Afragolese – last 6
WDDDLL
20 Sep
vs Venafro
4–0
W
16 Sep
@ Paganese
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Sarnese
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Gelbison
0–0
D
3 May
@ Francavilla
0–2
L
26 Apr
vs Gravina
0–6
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Città di Anagni and Afragolese.
What is the prediction for Città di Anagni vs Afragolese?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Città di Anagni vs Afragolese?
On our numbers Città di Anagni have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Afragolese 57%.
How many goals will there be in Città di Anagni vs Afragolese?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Città di Anagni vs Afragolese?
Our predicted score is Città di Anagni 0–1 Afragolese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Città di Anagni vs Afragolese?
Città di Anagni vs Afragolese (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
