Value bet: Albalonga to win @ 1.82 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlbalonga to win ✗64% · @1.82
Double chanceAlbalonga or draw ✗84% · fair 1.19
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.32
Albalonga vs Anzio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 4 October the Serie D Girone G brings Albalonga against Anzio. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Albalonga are 3rd, among the top four, on 17 points after 11 matches; Anzio are 7th (upper half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Albalonga, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Monastir, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Anzio, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Certosa V. Campagnano, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albalonga 1.8 xG, Anzio 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albalonga 64%, draw 19%, Anzio 16%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.92.
Price worth noting: Albalonga to win @1.82 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albalonga 1–0 Anzio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albalonga64%fair 1.56 · @1.82
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.82
Anzio16%fair 6.14 · @4.18
2.60Expected goals
1.84Albalonga xG
0.76Anzio xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Albalonga 1.8 – 0.8 Anzio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albalonga to win✗
64%
1.56
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Albalonga or draw✗
84%
1.19
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.92
Draw no bet
Albalonga (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Albalonga -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.29
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.06
First team to score
Albalonga to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Albalonga ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albalonga / FT Albalonga✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.32
–
Recent results
Albalonga – last 6
DDLWWL
27 Sep
@ Monastir
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Aranova
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Città di Anagni
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Atletico Lodigiani
3–2
W
10 May
@ Trastevere
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Anzio – last 6
WLWLDW
27 Sep
vs Certosa V. Campagnano
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Budoni
0–2
L
16 Sep
vs Monastir
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Aranova
0–0
D
3 May
vs Trastevere
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albalonga and Anzio.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Albalonga vs Anzio?
On our numbers Albalonga have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Anzio 16%.
How many goals will there be in Albalonga vs Anzio?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albalonga vs Anzio?
Our predicted score is Albalonga 1–0 Anzio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Albalonga vs Anzio?
Albalonga vs Anzio (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
