Value bet: Sarrabus Ogliastra to win @ 2.69 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSarrabus Ogliastra to win ✗40% · @2.69
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · fair 1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.71
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.92
Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sarrabus Ogliastra travel to face Latte Dolce on Sunday 4 October in the Serie D Girone G – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Latte Dolce are 17th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 11 matches; Sarrabus Ogliastra are 15th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Latte Dolce, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Aranova, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Sarrabus Ogliastra, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Unipomezia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sarrabus Ogliastra, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Latte Dolce.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Latte Dolce 1.4 xG, Sarrabus Ogliastra 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Latte Dolce 40%, draw 20%, Sarrabus Ogliastra 40%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.71.
Price worth noting: Sarrabus Ogliastra to win @2.69 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Latte Dolce 1–1 Sarrabus Ogliastra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Latte Dolce40%fair 2.51 · @2.39
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.80
Sarrabus Ogliastra40%fair 2.49 · @2.69
2.86Expected goals
1.43Latte Dolce xG
1.43Sarrabus Ogliastra xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Latte Dolce 1.4 – 1.4 Sarrabus Ogliastra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarrabus Ogliastra to win✗
40%
2.49
2.69 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.71
Draw no bet
Sarrabus Ogliastra (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Latte Dolce +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.12
First team to score
Sarrabus Ogliastra to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarrabus Ogliastra / FT Sarrabus Ogliastra✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.92
–
Recent results
Latte Dolce – last 6
DLDLLL
27 Sep
@ Aranova
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs Città di Anagni
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ Atletico Lodigiani
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Paganese
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Ossese
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Torres
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sarrabus Ogliastra – last 6
DDLWLD
27 Sep
vs Unipomezia
2–2
D
20 Sep
@ Albalonga
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Certosa V. Campagnano
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Anzio
1–0
W
6 Sep
vs Monastir
1–2
L
3 May
vs Olbia
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Latte Dolce and Sarrabus Ogliastra.
What is the prediction for Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
On our numbers Latte Dolce have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sarrabus Ogliastra 40%.
How many goals will there be in Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Our predicted score is Latte Dolce 1–1 Sarrabus Ogliastra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
