Catania 30%Draw 51%Savoia 19%Expected goals 1.54 – 1.30
81%
Betarazi pick
Catania or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.30 – our chance 51% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +69%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗51% · @3.30
Double chanceCatania or draw ✗81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 17.11
Catania vs Savoia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Wednesday 2 September: Catania v Savoia in the Coppa Italia Serie C, played at Stadio Angelo Massimino.
Current form
Catania, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to SS Monopoli, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Savoia, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Casertana, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Savoia, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Catania.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Catania 1.5 xG, Savoia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Catania 30%, draw 51%, Savoia 19%.
Lower-risk option: Catania or draw (81%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Catania or draw (81%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.23, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Catania 1–1 Savoia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Catania30%fair 3.35 · @2.00
Draw51%fair 1.95 · @3.30
Savoia19%fair 5.28 · @3.10
2.84Expected goals
1.54Catania xG
1.30Savoia xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Catania 1.5 – 1.3 Savoia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
51%
1.95
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Catania or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.73
Draw no bet
Catania (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Savoia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.11
First team to score
Catania to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Catania / FT Catania✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✗
6%
17.11
–
Recent results
Catania – last 6
LLLDWL
29 Aug
@ SS Monopoli
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Inter U23
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Parma
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Vicenza Virtus
1–1
D
27 May
vs Ascoli
2–1
W
24 May
@ Ascoli
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Savoia – last 6
LLWLWW
29 Aug
vs Casertana
1–2
L
23 Aug
@ AZ Picerno
2–3
L
14 Aug
@ Casertana
2–1
W
13 May
vs Scafatese
1–4
L
3 May
vs Sancataldese
3–0
W
26 Apr
@ AC Palermo
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Catania and Savoia.
Our pick is Catania or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Catania vs Savoia?
On our numbers Catania have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 51% and Savoia 19%.
How many goals will there be in Catania vs Savoia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Catania vs Savoia?
Our predicted score is Catania 1–1 Savoia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Catania vs Savoia?
Catania vs Savoia (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Angelo Massimino.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.