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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spezia v Vado: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia

WDWDD
3–0
FT

Vado

DWDLW
Spezia 59%Draw 24%Vado 17% Expected goals 2.18 – 1.16
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.28Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSpezia to win ✓59% · @1.73
Double chanceSpezia or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Spezia vs Vado: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 2 September the Coppa Italia Serie C brings Spezia against Vado at Stadio Alberto Picco. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Spezia, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Campobasso FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Vado, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Pianese, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spezia 2.2 xG, Vado 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spezia 59%, draw 24%, Vado 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Spezia or draw (83%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spezia 2–1 Vado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spezia59%fair 1.71 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.70
Vado17%fair 5.80 · @3.80
3.34Expected goals
2.18Spezia xG
1.16Vado xG
55%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Spezia 2.2 – 1.2 Vado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpezia to win ✓59%1.711.73
Double chanceSpezia or draw ✓83%1.211.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.83
Draw no betSpezia (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapSpezia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.11
First team to scoreSpezia to score first ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultSpezia ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spezia / FT Spezia ✗39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.23–

Recent results

Spezia – last 6

WDWDDD
29 Augvs Campobasso FC1–0W
23 Aug@ Grosseto1–1D
16 Augvs Torres4–1W
1 Aug@ Empoli1–1D
8 May@ Pescara1–1D
1 Mayvs Venezia2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Vado – last 6

DWDLWL
28 Aug@ Pianese0–0D
21 Augvs Atalanta II2–0W
14 Augvs Inter U231–1D
6 Junvs Scafatese0–6L
30 Mayvs Barletta2–0W
24 May@ Barletta1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Spezia and Vado.

Spezia vs Vado head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie C predictions

League hub
FT Gubbio5 Vis Pesaro0 137%2.88X23%3.20241%2.20 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
Cancelled Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Latina 139%2.35X22%3.20238%2.62 1.6–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.36
FT Athletic Carpi1 PRO Vercelli1 Pens 6–5 143%2.05X21%3.30235%3.00 1.7–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.33 ✓
FT Arzignano Valchiampo2 Dolomiti Bellunesi2 Pens 3–5 149%2.05X22%3.25229%3.10 1.3–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✗
FT Sorrento1 Cosenza0 141%2.00X21%3.40238%3.10 1.1–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.30 ✓
FT Catania0 Savoia3 130%2.00X51%3.30219%3.10 1.5–1.3xG 1XCatania or draw 81%@1.28 ✗
FT Team Altamura2 Sambenedettese2 Pens 8–7 146%2.10X23%3.10231%3.20 1.2–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spezia vs Vado?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Spezia vs Vado?

On our numbers Spezia have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vado 17%.

How many goals will there be in Spezia vs Vado?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spezia vs Vado?

Our predicted score is Spezia 2–1 Vado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Spezia vs Vado?

Spezia vs Vado (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Picco.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.