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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sorrento v Cosenza: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani

Sorrento

WWDWD
1–0
FT

Cosenza

LLWLL
Sorrento 41%Draw 21%Cosenza 38% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.00
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Cosenza to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSorrento to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.94

Sorrento vs Cosenza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Wednesday 2 September: Sorrento v Cosenza in the Coppa Italia Serie C, played at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani.

Current form

Sorrento, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Crotone, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Cosenza, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Potenza, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sorrento, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Cosenza.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Cosenza 3–2 Sorrento.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sorrento 1.1 xG, Cosenza 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sorrento 41%, draw 21%, Cosenza 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Cosenza to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.27, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sorrento 1–0 Cosenza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sorrento41%fair 2.44 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Cosenza38%fair 2.65 · @3.10
2.06Expected goals
1.06Sorrento xG
1.00Cosenza xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–114%
0–013%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Sorrento 1.1 – 1.0 Cosenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSorrento to win ✓41%2.442.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.841.80
Draw no betSorrento (draw no bet) ✓52%1.92–
Asian handicapCosenza +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.491.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.271.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.11
First team to scoreSorrento to score first ✓45%2.22–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗21%4.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7%13.94–

Recent results

Sorrento – last 6

WWDWDL
29 Augvs Crotone1–0W
24 Aug@ Salernitana2–1W
16 Aug@ Giugliano0–0D
6 Aprvs Team Altamura2–0W
22 Marvs Crotone2–2D
15 Mar@ Audace Cerignola2–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cosenza – last 6

LLWLLW
29 Augvs Potenza1–2L
22 Aug@ Audace Cerignola1–3L
16 Aug@ Crotone2–0W
6 Mayvs Casarano1–5L
13 Apr@ AZ Picerno1–3L
4 Aprvs Foggia1–0W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Cosenza v Sorrento3–2
Sorrento vs Cosenza head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie C predictions

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FT Gubbio5 Vis Pesaro0 137%2.88X23%3.20241%2.20 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
Cancelled Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Latina 139%2.35X22%3.20238%2.62 1.6–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.36
FT Athletic Carpi1 PRO Vercelli1 Pens 6–5 143%2.05X21%3.30235%3.00 1.7–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.33 ✓
FT Arzignano Valchiampo2 Dolomiti Bellunesi2 Pens 3–5 149%2.05X22%3.25229%3.10 1.3–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✗
FT Catania0 Savoia3 130%2.00X51%3.30219%3.10 1.5–1.3xG 1XCatania or draw 81%@1.28 ✗
FT Team Altamura2 Sambenedettese2 Pens 8–7 146%2.10X23%3.10231%3.20 1.2–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✓
FT Spezia3 Vado0 159%1.73X24%3.70217%3.80 2.2–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sorrento vs Cosenza?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Sorrento vs Cosenza?

On our numbers Sorrento have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cosenza 38%.

How many goals will there be in Sorrento vs Cosenza?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sorrento vs Cosenza?

Our predicted score is Sorrento 1–0 Cosenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Sorrento vs Cosenza?

Sorrento vs Cosenza (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.