Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl-Karma to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chanceAl-Karma or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.12
Al-Karma vs Naft: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Karma welcome Naft for a Iraqi League fixture on Wednesday 9 September (20:00 WAT). In the table, Al-Karma are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 13 matches; Naft are 3rd (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Al-Karma, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Diyala, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Naft, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Al Minaa Basra, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (5 May 2026) it ended Naft 0–0 Al-Karma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Karma 1.6 xG, Naft 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Karma 64%, draw 22%, Naft 14%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Karma to win (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Karma 1–0 Naft. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Karma64%fair 1.55 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Naft14%fair 7.35 · @5.00
2.08Expected goals
1.56Al-Karma xG
0.52Naft xG
40%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–015%
0–013%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Al-Karma 1.6 – 0.5 Naft expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al-Karma to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Al-Karma vs Naft?
On our numbers Al-Karma have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Naft 14%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Karma vs Naft?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Karma vs Naft?
Our predicted score is Al-Karma 1–0 Naft, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Al-Karma vs Naft?
Al-Karma vs Naft (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
