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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Al Minaa Basra v Naft Maysan: numbers & prediction

Iraqi League · Iraq
1–1
FT
Al Minaa Basra 51%Draw 23%Naft Maysan 26% Expected goals 1.29 – 0.81
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl Minaa Basra to win ✗51% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.31

Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Naft Maysan travel to face Al Minaa Basra on Wednesday 9 September in the Iraqi League – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Al Minaa Basra are 9th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Naft Maysan are 19th (in the drop zone) with 9.

Current form

Al Minaa Basra, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Naft, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Naft Maysan, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Newroz, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Al Minaa Basra 0–1 Naft Maysan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al Minaa Basra 1.3 xG, Naft Maysan 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al Minaa Basra 51%, draw 23%, Naft Maysan 26%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Minaa Basra 1–0 Naft Maysan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al Minaa Basra51%fair 1.98 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Naft Maysan26%fair 3.83 · @3.60
2.09Expected goals
1.29Al Minaa Basra xG
0.81Naft Maysan xG
41%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–113%
0–012%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%

From our goals model: Al Minaa Basra 1.3 – 0.8 Naft Maysan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Minaa Basra to win ✗51%1.982.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗59%1.70–
Draw no betAl Minaa Basra (draw no bet)66%1.52–
Asian handicapNaft Maysan +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.601.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
First team to scoreAl Minaa Basra to score first54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Minaa Basra / FT Al Minaa Basra ✗28%3.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.31–

Recent results

Al Minaa Basra – last 6

LLWWDD
5 Sepvs Naft0–3L
31 Aug@ Erbil0–2L
26 Augvs Gharraf3–0W
20 Augvs Zakho2–1W
2 Jun@ Al Shorta0–0D
28 Mayvs Al Talaba1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Naft Maysan – last 6

LDLDLW
4 Sepvs Newroz0–2L
29 Aug@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–1D
25 Aug@ Al Zawra'a0–4L
20 Augvs Naft0–0D
28 Mayvs Al Quwa Al Jawiya0–2L
24 Mayvs Al Najaf2–1W
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Al Minaa Basra v Naft Maysan0–1
Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan head-to-head page →

Iraqi League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Karma13931+1330
2Newroz13751+1326
3Naft13742+825
4Al Shorta13661+824
5Al-Jolan SC13652+723
6Al Zawra'a13634+521
7Erbil13553+720
8Duhok13463+418
9Al Minaa Basra13454-117
10Ghaz Al Shamal13373-116
11Al Talaba13373-316
12Diyala13355-314
13Gharraf13355-614
14Al Quwa Al Jawiya13274013
15Zakho13346-713
16Al Karkh13337-512
17Mosul13337-812
18Al Kahrabaa13256-611
19Naft Maysan13166-119
20Karbala13148-147

More Iraqi League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?

On our numbers Al Minaa Basra have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Naft Maysan 26%.

How many goals will there be in Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?

Our predicted score is Al Minaa Basra 1–0 Naft Maysan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan?

Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Maysan (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.