Al Talaba 59%Draw 25%Al Karkh 15%Expected goals 1.48 – 0.60
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Al Talaba to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAl Talaba to win ✓59% · @1.90
Double chanceAl Talaba or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.39
Al Talaba vs Al Karkh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Talaba welcome Al Karkh to Al Talaba Stadium for a Iraqi League fixture on Wednesday 9 September (16:45 WAT). In the table, Al Talaba are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Al Karkh are 16th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Al Talaba, last 5: DDWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Zakho, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Al Karkh, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Karbala, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Al Talaba, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Al Karkh.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Jun 2026) it ended Al Talaba 1–1 Al Karkh. The last 2 head-to-heads: Al Talaba 1 win, Al Karkh 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Talaba 1.5 xG, Al Karkh 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Talaba 59%, draw 25%, Al Karkh 15%.
Lower-risk option: Al Talaba or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Price worth noting: Al Talaba to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Talaba 1–0 Al Karkh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Talaba59%fair 1.69 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.90
Al Karkh15%fair 6.52 · @4.10
2.08Expected goals
1.48Al Talaba xG
0.60Al Karkh xG
38%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Al Talaba 1.5 – 0.6 Al Karkh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Al Talaba vs Al Karkh?
On our numbers Al Talaba have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Karkh 15%.
How many goals will there be in Al Talaba vs Al Karkh?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Talaba vs Al Karkh?
Our predicted score is Al Talaba 1–0 Al Karkh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Al Talaba vs Al Karkh?
Al Talaba vs Al Karkh (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time) at Al Talaba Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
