Al Minaa Basra 12%Draw 24%Al-Karma 64%Expected goals 0.61 – 1.73
64%
Betarazi pick
Al-Karma to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl-Karma to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceAl-Karma or draw ✗88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.03
Al Minaa Basra vs Al-Karma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Minaa Basra welcome Al-Karma for a Iraqi League fixture on Saturday 24 October (16:00 WAT). In the table, Al Minaa Basra are 9th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Al-Karma are 1st (leading the league) with 30. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Al Minaa Basra, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Newroz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Al-Karma, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al Quwa Al Jawiya, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Al-Karma, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.8 for Al Minaa Basra.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Al Minaa Basra 2–0 Al-Karma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Minaa Basra 0.6 xG, Al-Karma 1.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 39%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Minaa Basra 12%, draw 24%, Al-Karma 64%.
Lower-risk option: Al-Karma or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Karma to win (64%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Minaa Basra 0–1 Al-Karma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Minaa Basra12%fair 8.19 · @4.20
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.10
Al-Karma64%fair 1.56 · @1.75
2.35Expected goals
0.61Al Minaa Basra xG
1.73Al-Karma xG
39%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–214%
1–110%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Al Minaa Basra 0.6 – 1.7 Al-Karma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al Minaa Basra vs Al-Karma?
Our pick is Al-Karma to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Al-Karma?
On our numbers Al Minaa Basra have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Al-Karma 64%.
How many goals will there be in Al Minaa Basra vs Al-Karma?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Minaa Basra vs Al-Karma?
Our predicted score is Al Minaa Basra 0–1 Al-Karma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Al Minaa Basra vs Al-Karma?
Al Minaa Basra vs Al-Karma (Iraqi League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
