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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ghaz Al Shamal v Naft Maysan: numbers & prediction

Iraqi League · Iraq
1–0
FT
Ghaz Al Shamal 40%Draw 24%Naft Maysan 36% Expected goals 1.00 – 0.92
66%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultGhaz Al Shamal to win ✓40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.84

Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Ghaz Al Shamal v Naft Maysan in the Iraqi League. In the table, Ghaz Al Shamal are 10th, upper half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Naft Maysan are 19th (in the drop zone) with 9.

Current form

Ghaz Al Shamal, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Al Zawra'a, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Naft Maysan, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Diyala, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ghaz Al Shamal 1.0 xG, Naft Maysan 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ghaz Al Shamal 40%, draw 24%, Naft Maysan 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ghaz Al Shamal 0–0 Naft Maysan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ghaz Al Shamal40%fair 2.51 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
Naft Maysan36%fair 2.79 · @2.70
1.92Expected goals
1.00Ghaz Al Shamal xG
0.92Naft Maysan xG
41%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Ghaz Al Shamal 1.0 – 0.9 Naft Maysan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGhaz Al Shamal to win ✓40%2.512.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓59%1.68–
Draw no betGhaz Al Shamal (draw no bet) ✓53%1.90–
Asian handicapNaft Maysan +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗57%1.75–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66%1.511.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreGhaz Al Shamal to score first ✓44%2.26–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗23%4.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.84–

Recent results

Ghaz Al Shamal – last 6

WLDDDL
18 Octvs Al Zawra'a1–0W
10 Oct@ Al Minaa Basra0–2L
19 Sepvs Newroz0–0D
12 Sep@ Al Shorta0–0D
8 Sep@ Duhok1–1D
4 Sepvs Al-Jolan SC0–1L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Naft Maysan – last 6

LDLWDL
16 Oct@ Diyala0–2L
8 Octvs Erbil1–1D
17 Sep@ Al Karkh2–3L
13 Sepvs Al Talaba2–0W
9 Sep@ Al Minaa Basra1–1D
4 Sepvs Newroz0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ghaz Al Shamal and Naft Maysan.

Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan head-to-head page →

Iraqi League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Karma13931+1330
2Newroz13751+1326
3Naft13742+825
4Al Shorta13661+824
5Al-Jolan SC13652+723
6Al Zawra'a13634+521
7Erbil13553+720
8Duhok13463+418
9Al Minaa Basra13454-117
10Ghaz Al Shamal13373-116
11Al Talaba13373-316
12Diyala13355-314
13Gharraf13355-614
14Al Quwa Al Jawiya13274013
15Zakho13346-713
16Al Karkh13337-512
17Mosul13337-812
18Al Kahrabaa13256-611
19Naft Maysan13166-119
20Karbala13148-147

More Iraqi League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan?

On our numbers Ghaz Al Shamal have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Naft Maysan 36%.

How many goals will there be in Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan?

Our predicted score is Ghaz Al Shamal 0–0 Naft Maysan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan?

Ghaz Al Shamal vs Naft Maysan (Iraqi League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.