Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultNewroz to win ✗60% · @1.62
Double chanceNewroz or draw ✓80% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.04
Newroz vs Diyala: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the Iraqi League brings Newroz against Diyala. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Newroz are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; Diyala are 12th (lower half) with 14. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Newroz, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Al Minaa Basra, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.
Diyala, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Naft Maysan, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Newroz, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Diyala.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newroz 1.7 xG, Diyala 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newroz 60%, draw 21%, Diyala 20%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Newroz to win (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newroz 1–0 Diyala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newroz60%fair 1.68 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.40
Diyala20%fair 5.09 · @5.00
2.46Expected goals
1.66Newroz xG
0.80Diyala xG
46%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Newroz 1.7 – 0.8 Diyala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newroz to win✗
60%
1.68
1.62
Double chance
Newroz or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Newroz (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Diyala +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Newroz to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newroz / FT Newroz✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.04
–
Recent results
Newroz – last 6
WWDWWW
16 Oct
vs Al Minaa Basra
2–0
W
9 Oct
@ Zakho
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Ghaz Al Shamal
0–0
D
14 Sep
@ Al-Jolan SC
2–0
W
9 Sep
vs Mosul
3–0
W
4 Sep
@ Naft Maysan
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Diyala – last 6
WLDWLL
16 Oct
vs Naft Maysan
2–0
W
9 Oct
@ Naft
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Gharraf
3–1
W
8 Sep
@ Erbil
0–2
L
3 Sep
vs Al-Karma
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newroz and Diyala.
Our pick is Newroz to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Newroz vs Diyala?
On our numbers Newroz have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Diyala 20%.
How many goals will there be in Newroz vs Diyala?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newroz vs Diyala?
Our predicted score is Newroz 1–0 Diyala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Newroz vs Diyala?
Newroz vs Diyala (Iraqi League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
