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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Al-Karma v Naft Maysan: numbers & prediction

Iraqi League · Iraq
4–1
FT
Al-Karma 66%Draw 22%Naft Maysan 12% Expected goals 1.78 – 0.59
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl-Karma to win ✓66% · @1.48
Double chanceAl-Karma or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.04

Al-Karma vs Naft Maysan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Naft Maysan travel to face Al-Karma on Friday 6 November in the Iraqi League – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Al-Karma are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 13 matches; Naft Maysan are 19th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Al-Karma, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Duhok, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Naft Maysan, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Zakho, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Al-Karma, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Naft Maysan.

Head to head

When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Naft Maysan 1–1 Al-Karma.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al-Karma 1.8 xG, Naft Maysan 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Karma 66%, draw 22%, Naft Maysan 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.82.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Karma 1–0 Naft Maysan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al-Karma66%fair 1.52 · @1.48
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.94
Naft Maysan12%fair 8.60 · @5.62
2.38Expected goals
1.78Al-Karma xG
0.59Naft Maysan xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%

From our goals model: Al-Karma 1.8 – 0.6 Naft Maysan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl-Karma to win ✓66%1.521.48
Double chanceAl-Karma or draw ✓88%1.131.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.911.82
Draw no betAl-Karma (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapAl-Karma -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.24
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.341.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗88%1.141.08
First team to scoreAl-Karma to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultAl-Karma ahead at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al-Karma / FT Al-Karma ✓42%2.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%6.04–

Recent results

Al-Karma – last 6

WLDWWW
30 Octvs Duhok1–0W
24 Oct@ Al Minaa Basra1–2L
17 Oct@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya0–0D
10 Octvs Al Karkh3–2W
19 Sepvs Zakho1–0W
14 Sep@ Erbil2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Naft Maysan – last 6

DLLDLW
31 Octvs Zakho0–0D
24 Oct@ Ghaz Al Shamal0–1L
16 Oct@ Diyala0–2L
8 Octvs Erbil1–1D
17 Sep@ Al Karkh2–3L
13 Sepvs Al Talaba2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 May 2026Naft Maysan v Al-Karma1–1
Al-Karma vs Naft Maysan head-to-head page →

Iraqi League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Karma13931+1330
2Newroz13751+1326
3Naft13742+825
4Al Shorta13661+824
5Al-Jolan SC13652+723
6Al Zawra'a13634+521
7Erbil13553+720
8Duhok13463+418
9Al Minaa Basra13454-117
10Ghaz Al Shamal13373-116
11Al Talaba13373-316
12Diyala13355-314
13Gharraf13355-614
14Al Quwa Al Jawiya13274013
15Zakho13346-713
16Al Karkh13337-512
17Mosul13337-812
18Al Kahrabaa13256-611
19Naft Maysan13166-119
20Karbala13148-147

More Iraqi League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al-Karma vs Naft Maysan?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Al-Karma vs Naft Maysan?

On our numbers Al-Karma have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Naft Maysan 12%.

How many goals will there be in Al-Karma vs Naft Maysan?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al-Karma vs Naft Maysan?

Our predicted score is Al-Karma 1–0 Naft Maysan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Al-Karma vs Naft Maysan?

Al-Karma vs Naft Maysan (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.