Newroz vs Karbala: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newroz welcome Karbala for a Iraqi League fixture on Friday 6 November (14:00 WAT). In the table, Newroz are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; Karbala are 20th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Newroz, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al Shorta, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Karbala, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Al Talaba, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Newroz, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Karbala.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newroz 1.8 xG, Karbala 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newroz 65%, draw 22%, Karbala 13%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.92.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newroz 1–0 Karbala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newroz65%fair 1.54 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.78
Karbala13%fair 7.55 · @6.65
2.49Expected goals
1.82Newroz xG
0.67Karbala xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Newroz 1.8 – 0.7 Karbala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newroz to win✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Double chance
Newroz or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.92
Draw no bet
Newroz (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Newroz -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.29
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Newroz to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Newroz ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newroz / FT Newroz✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.86
–
Recent results
Newroz – last 6
DDWWDW
30 Oct
@ Al Shorta
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Diyala
0–0
D
16 Oct
vs Al Minaa Basra
2–0
W
9 Oct
@ Zakho
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Ghaz Al Shamal
0–0
D
14 Sep
@ Al-Jolan SC
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Karbala – last 6
DLLDLL
30 Oct
vs Al Talaba
2–2
D
23 Oct
@ Duhok
2–5
L
16 Oct
vs Gharraf
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Al Kahrabaa
0–0
D
18 Sep
vs Erbil
0–3
L
14 Sep
@ Naft
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newroz and Karbala.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Newroz vs Karbala?
On our numbers Newroz have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Karbala 13%.
How many goals will there be in Newroz vs Karbala?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newroz vs Karbala?
Our predicted score is Newroz 1–0 Karbala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Newroz vs Karbala?
Newroz vs Karbala (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
