Al Talaba 59%Draw 23%Ghaz Al Shamal 18%Expected goals 1.43 – 0.62
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Talaba to win ✗59% · @1.78
Double chanceAl Talaba or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.45
Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 6 November the Iraqi League brings Al Talaba against Ghaz Al Shamal at Al Talaba Stadium. Kick-off: 14:45 WAT. In the table, Al Talaba are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Ghaz Al Shamal are 10th (upper half) with 16. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Talaba, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Karbala, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ghaz Al Shamal, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Erbil, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Talaba 1.4 xG, Ghaz Al Shamal 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Talaba 59%, draw 23%, Ghaz Al Shamal 18%.
Lower-risk option: Al Talaba or draw (82%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Talaba 2–0 Ghaz Al Shamal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Talaba59%fair 1.69 · @1.78
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Ghaz Al Shamal18%fair 5.46 · @4.27
2.06Expected goals
1.43Al Talaba xG
0.62Ghaz Al Shamal xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–013%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Al Talaba 1.4 – 0.6 Ghaz Al Shamal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Talaba to win✗
59%
1.69
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Al Talaba or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.70
Draw no bet
Al Talaba (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Ghaz Al Shamal +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Al Talaba to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Talaba / FT Al Talaba✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.45
–
Recent results
Al Talaba – last 6
DWWDDL
30 Oct
@ Karbala
2–2
D
22 Oct
vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–0
W
16 Oct
@ Al Kahrabaa
1–0
W
8 Oct
vs Al Shorta
0–0
D
18 Sep
vs Al-Jolan SC
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Naft Maysan
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ghaz Al Shamal – last 6
DWWLDD
31 Oct
@ Erbil
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Naft Maysan
1–0
W
18 Oct
vs Al Zawra'a
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Al Minaa Basra
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Newroz
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Al Shorta
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Talaba and Ghaz Al Shamal.
What is the prediction for Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
On our numbers Al Talaba have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ghaz Al Shamal 18%.
How many goals will there be in Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
Our predicted score is Al Talaba 2–0 Ghaz Al Shamal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
Al Talaba vs Ghaz Al Shamal (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Al Talaba Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
