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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Oriku v Burreli: numbers & prediction

1st Division · Albania
0–1
FT

Burreli

LDDDL
Oriku 29%Draw 22%Burreli 50% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.66
50%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 2.00 · bookmaker 2.05 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.05Odds

Picks by market

ResultBurreli to win ✓50% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.55

Oriku vs Burreli: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Burreli travel to face Oriku on Sunday 20 September in the 1st Division – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Oriku are 12th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 10 matches; Burreli are 10th (in the drop zone) with 7.

Current form

Oriku, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Besa Kavajë, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Burreli, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Sopoti Librazhd, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Burreli, collecting 0.5 points per game to 0.0 for Oriku.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oriku 1.2 xG, Burreli 1.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Oriku 29%, draw 22%, Burreli 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (50%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 2.00, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oriku 1–2 Burreli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oriku29%fair 3.48 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Burreli50%fair 2.02 · @2.05
2.84Expected goals
1.19Oriku xG
1.66Burreli xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%

From our goals model: Oriku 1.2 – 1.7 Burreli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBurreli to win ✓50%2.022.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.94–
Draw no betBurreli (draw no bet) ✓63%1.58–
Asian handicapOriku +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%2.002.05
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreBurreli to score first ✓55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT Burreli / FT Burreli ✗29%3.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.55–

Recent results

Oriku – last 3

LLL
16 Sep@ Besa Kavajë0–5L
12 Sepvs Bylis1–2L
6 Sep@ Korabi Peshkopi0–1L
0.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Burreli – last 6

LDDDLL
16 Sepvs Sopoti Librazhd1–3L
11 Sep@ Flamurtari1–1D
6 Sepvs Kastrioti Krujë2–2D
3 May@ Apolonia Fier4–4D
19 Apr@ Luftëtari0–2L
22 Marvs Pogradeci0–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Oriku and Burreli.

Oriku vs Burreli head-to-head page →

1st Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Iliria Fushë-Krujë10631+521
2Besa Kavajë10532+1118
3Bylis10460+518
4FK Kukesi10604+318
5Pogradeci10451+617
6Flamurtari10442+616
7Besëlidhja Lezhë10424+314
8Korabi Peshkopi10334-612
9Kastrioti Krujë10325-211
10Burreli10145-67
11Sopoti Librazhd10145-107
12Oriku10028-152

More 1st Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oriku vs Burreli?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win Oriku vs Burreli?

On our numbers Oriku have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Burreli 50%.

How many goals will there be in Oriku vs Burreli?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oriku vs Burreli?

Our predicted score is Oriku 1–2 Burreli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Oriku vs Burreli?

Oriku vs Burreli (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.