Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.54
Pogradeci vs Flamurtari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pogradeci welcome Flamurtari for a 1st Division fixture on Sunday 20 September (12:30 WAT). In the table, Pogradeci are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Flamurtari are 6th (upper half) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pogradeci, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over FK Kukesi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Flamurtari, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kastrioti Krujë, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Pogradeci, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Flamurtari.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogradeci 1.6 xG, Flamurtari 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogradeci 57%, draw 21%, Flamurtari 22%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pogradeci to win (57%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogradeci 1–0 Flamurtari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogradeci57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.25
Flamurtari22%fair 4.55 · @3.50
2.51Expected goals
1.63Pogradeci xG
0.88Flamurtari xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Pogradeci 1.6 – 0.9 Flamurtari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✗
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Pogradeci (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Flamurtari +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Pogradeci to score first✗
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.54
–
Recent results
Pogradeci – last 6
WWDDWL
16 Sep
@ FK Kukesi
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Kastrioti Krujë
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0–0
D
11 May
vs Besa Kavajë
0–0
D
7 May
vs Kastrioti Krujë
3–0
W
3 May
@ Luftëtari
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Flamurtari – last 6
LDDLDW
16 Sep
@ Kastrioti Krujë
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Burreli
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Besa Kavajë
3–3
D
10 May
@ Vllaznia Shkodër
0–2
L
6 May
vs Teuta Durrës
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Dinamo Tirana
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogradeci and Flamurtari.
What is the prediction for Pogradeci vs Flamurtari?
Our pick is Pogradeci to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Flamurtari?
On our numbers Pogradeci have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Flamurtari 22%.
How many goals will there be in Pogradeci vs Flamurtari?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogradeci vs Flamurtari?
Our predicted score is Pogradeci 1–0 Flamurtari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pogradeci vs Flamurtari?
Pogradeci vs Flamurtari (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
