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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Burreli v Besëlidhja Lezhë: numbers & prediction

1st Division · Albania · Liri Ballabani Stadium

Burreli

LWLDD
0–0
FT
Burreli 43%Draw 23%Besëlidhja Lezhë 35% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.12
57%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultBurreli to win ✗43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.61

Burreli vs Besëlidhja Lezhë: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 11 October the 1st Division brings Burreli against Besëlidhja Lezhë at Liri Ballabani Stadium. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Burreli are 10th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 10 matches; Besëlidhja Lezhë are 7th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Burreli, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Eagle FA, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Besëlidhja Lezhë, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sopoti Librazhd, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Burreli 1.3 xG, Besëlidhja Lezhë 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Burreli 43%, draw 23%, Besëlidhja Lezhë 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burreli 1–1 Besëlidhja Lezhë. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Burreli43%fair 2.34 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Besëlidhja Lezhë35%fair 2.88 · @2.62
2.40Expected goals
1.28Burreli xG
1.12Besëlidhja Lezhë xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Burreli 1.3 – 1.1 Besëlidhja Lezhë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBurreli to win ✗43%2.342.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.88–
Draw no betBurreli (draw no bet)55%1.81–
Asian handicapBesëlidhja Lezhë +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.771.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreBurreli to score first ✗49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Burreli / FT Burreli ✗23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.61–

Recent results

Burreli – last 6

LWLDDD
7 Octvs Eagle FA2–3L
20 Sep@ Oriku1–0W
16 Sepvs Sopoti Librazhd1–3L
11 Sep@ Flamurtari1–1D
6 Sepvs Kastrioti Krujë2–2D
3 May@ Apolonia Fier4–4D
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Besëlidhja Lezhë – last 5

DWDLL
6 Octvs Sopoti Librazhd1–1D
20 Sepvs Besa Kavajë2–1W
16 Sep@ Bylis0–0D
12 Sepvs Korabi Peshkopi1–2L
5 Sep@ FK Kukesi0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Burreli and Besëlidhja Lezhë.

Burreli vs Besëlidhja Lezhë head-to-head page →

1st Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Iliria Fushë-Krujë10631+521
2Besa Kavajë10532+1118
3Bylis10460+518
4FK Kukesi10604+318
5Pogradeci10451+617
6Flamurtari10442+616
7Besëlidhja Lezhë10424+314
8Korabi Peshkopi10334-612
9Kastrioti Krujë10325-211
10Burreli10145-67
11Sopoti Librazhd10145-107
12Oriku10028-152

More 1st Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burreli vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Burreli vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?

On our numbers Burreli have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Besëlidhja Lezhë 35%.

How many goals will there be in Burreli vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Burreli vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?

Our predicted score is Burreli 1–1 Besëlidhja Lezhë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Burreli vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?

Burreli vs Besëlidhja Lezhë (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Liri Ballabani Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.