Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultPogradeci to win ✓64% · @1.60
Double chancePogradeci or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.55
Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pogradeci travel to face Korabi Peshkopi on Sunday 11 October in the 1st Division – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Korabi Peshkopi are 8th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Pogradeci are 5th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Korabi Peshkopi, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tërbuni Pukë, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Pogradeci, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Delvina, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Korabi Peshkopi 0.6 xG, Pogradeci 1.6 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Korabi Peshkopi 16%, draw 20%, Pogradeci 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pogradeci to win (64%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Korabi Peshkopi 0–1 Pogradeci. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Korabi Peshkopi16%fair 6.19 · @4.75
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.50
Pogradeci64%fair 1.56 · @1.60
2.17Expected goals
0.59Korabi Peshkopi xG
1.58Pogradeci xG
42%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–214%
0–011%
1–111%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Korabi Peshkopi 0.6 – 1.6 Pogradeci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✓
64%
1.56
1.60
Double chance
Pogradeci or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Draw no bet
Pogradeci (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Pogradeci -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Pogradeci to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.55
–
Recent results
Korabi Peshkopi – last 6
WLDWWD
7 Oct
vs Tërbuni Pukë
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ FK Kukesi
0–3
L
16 Sep
vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Besëlidhja Lezhë
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Oriku
1–0
W
3 May
vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pogradeci – last 6
WDWWDD
7 Oct
vs Delvina
7–0
W
20 Sep
vs Flamurtari
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ FK Kukesi
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Kastrioti Krujë
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0–0
D
11 May
vs Besa Kavajë
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Korabi Peshkopi and Pogradeci.
What is the prediction for Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci?
Our pick is Pogradeci to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci?
On our numbers Korabi Peshkopi have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pogradeci 64%.
How many goals will there be in Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci?
Our predicted score is Korabi Peshkopi 0–1 Pogradeci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci?
Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
