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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Besa Kavajë v Burreli: numbers & prediction

1st Division · Albania
1–1
FT

Burreli

LLLLD
Besa Kavajë 70%Draw 17%Burreli 12% Expected goals 2.04 – 0.67
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.16 – our chance 51% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBesa Kavajë to win ✗70% · @1.25
Double chanceBesa Kavajë or draw ✓88% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.16
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77

Besa Kavajë vs Burreli: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Besa Kavajë welcome Burreli for a 1st Division fixture on Saturday 7 November (13:30 WAT). In the table, Besa Kavajë are 2nd, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Burreli are 10th (in the drop zone) with 7.

Current form

Besa Kavajë, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Pogradeci, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Burreli, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bylis, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Besa Kavajë, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for Burreli.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Besa Kavajë 1–0 Burreli.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Besa Kavajë 2.0 xG, Burreli 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Besa Kavajë 70%, draw 17%, Burreli 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.16.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.16 – the bookmaker implies 46%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Besa Kavajë 2–0 Burreli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Besa Kavajë70%fair 1.42 · @1.25
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @4.70
Burreli12%fair 8.21 · @10.30
2.71Expected goals
2.04Besa Kavajë xG
0.67Burreli xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–014%
3–09%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Besa Kavajë 2.0 – 0.7 Burreli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBesa Kavajë to win ✗70%1.421.25
Double chanceBesa Kavajë or draw ✓88%1.141.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.962.16 ▲
Draw no betBesa Kavajë (draw no bet)85%1.17–
Asian handicapBesa Kavajë -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.11
First team to scoreBesa Kavajë to score first70%1.42–
Half-time resultBesa Kavajë ahead at half-time ✗49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Besa Kavajë / FT Besa Kavajë ✗45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.77–

Recent results

Besa Kavajë – last 6

WDWLWW
1 Novvs Pogradeci3–2W
28 Oct@ Bylis0–0D
24 Octvs Korabi Peshkopi2–0W
16 Oct@ FK Kukesi0–2L
11 Octvs Iliria Fushë-Krujë2–0W
7 Octvs Devolli4–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Burreli – last 6

LLLLDL
1 Novvs Bylis0–2L
28 Oct@ Korabi Peshkopi0–1L
24 Octvs FK Kukesi1–2L
17 Oct@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë0–1L
11 Octvs Besëlidhja Lezhë0–0D
7 Octvs Eagle FA2–3L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026Besa Kavajë v Burreli1–0
Besa Kavajë vs Burreli head-to-head page →

1st Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Iliria Fushë-Krujë10631+521
2Besa Kavajë10532+1118
3Bylis10460+518
4FK Kukesi10604+318
5Pogradeci10451+617
6Flamurtari10442+616
7Besëlidhja Lezhë10424+314
8Korabi Peshkopi10334-612
9Kastrioti Krujë10325-211
10Burreli10145-67
11Sopoti Librazhd10145-107
12Oriku10028-152

More 1st Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Besa Kavajë vs Burreli?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Besa Kavajë vs Burreli?

On our numbers Besa Kavajë have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Burreli 12%.

How many goals will there be in Besa Kavajë vs Burreli?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Besa Kavajë vs Burreli?

Our predicted score is Besa Kavajë 2–0 Burreli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Besa Kavajë vs Burreli?

Besa Kavajë vs Burreli (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.