Pogradeci vs Besëlidhja Lezhë: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the 1st Division brings Pogradeci against Besëlidhja Lezhë. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Pogradeci are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Besëlidhja Lezhë are 7th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pogradeci, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Besa Kavajë, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Besëlidhja Lezhë, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Oriku, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogradeci 1.8 xG, Besëlidhja Lezhë 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogradeci 62%, draw 24%, Besëlidhja Lezhë 14%.
Lower-risk option: Pogradeci or draw (86%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.72.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogradeci 1–0 Besëlidhja Lezhë. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogradeci62%fair 1.61 · @1.69
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.55
Besëlidhja Lezhë14%fair 6.90 · @4.26
2.56Expected goals
1.81Pogradeci xG
0.75Besëlidhja Lezhë xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Pogradeci 1.8 – 0.8 Besëlidhja Lezhë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✓
62%
1.61
1.69
Double chance
Pogradeci or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.72
Draw no bet
Pogradeci (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Pogradeci -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.89
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Pogradeci to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Pogradeci ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.52
–
Recent results
Pogradeci – last 6
LDDDWW
1 Nov
@ Besa Kavajë
2–3
L
28 Oct
vs Oriku
0–0
D
23 Oct
@ Bylis
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Sopoti Librazhd
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ Korabi Peshkopi
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Delvina
7–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Besëlidhja Lezhë – last 6
WWLWDD
1 Nov
@ Oriku
1–0
W
28 Oct
vs Sopoti Librazhd
5–2
W
23 Oct
@ Flamurtari
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs Kastrioti Krujë
4–1
W
11 Oct
@ Burreli
0–0
D
6 Oct
vs Sopoti Librazhd
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogradeci and Besëlidhja Lezhë.
What is the prediction for Pogradeci vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?
On our numbers Pogradeci have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Besëlidhja Lezhë 14%.
How many goals will there be in Pogradeci vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogradeci vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?
Our predicted score is Pogradeci 1–0 Besëlidhja Lezhë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pogradeci vs Besëlidhja Lezhë?
Pogradeci vs Besëlidhja Lezhë (1st Division) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
