Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultMexico to win ✗62% · @1.57
Double chanceMexico or draw ✗82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Mexico vs Chile: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
03:30 WAT, Wednesday 7 October: Mexico v Chile in the Friendlies, played at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.
Current form
Mexico, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to USA, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Chile, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to USA, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mexico 1.7 xG, Chile 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mexico 62%, draw 20%, Chile 18%.
Lower-risk option: Mexico or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mexico to win (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mexico 1–0 Chile. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mexico62%fair 1.61 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.70
Chile18%fair 5.55 · @5.00
2.47Expected goals
1.71Mexico xG
0.76Chile xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Mexico 1.7 – 0.8 Chile expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mexico to win✗
62%
1.61
1.57
Double chance
Mexico or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.95
Draw no bet
Mexico (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Mexico -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Mexico to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mexico / FT Mexico✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.65
–
Recent results
Mexico – last 6
LDDLWW
4 Oct
@ USA
0–3
L
30 Sep
vs Peru
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Colombia
1–1
D
6 Jul
vs England
2–3
L
1 Jul
vs Ecuador
2–0
W
25 Jun
@ Czechia
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chile – last 6
LLWLLW
30 Sep
@ USA
2–4
L
27 Sep
@ Canada
0–1
L
9 Jun
@ Congo DR
2–1
W
6 Jun
@ Portugal
1–2
L
30 Mar
@ New Zealand
1–4
L
27 Mar
vs Cape Verde Islands
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mexico and Chile.
Our pick is Mexico to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Mexico vs Chile?
On our numbers Mexico have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chile 18%.
How many goals will there be in Mexico vs Chile?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mexico vs Chile?
Our predicted score is Mexico 1–0 Chile, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mexico vs Chile?
Mexico vs Chile (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Argentina3
Benin0
Colombia2
Peru0
USA1
Canada0