Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 10.91
Colombia vs Peru: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:45 WAT, Wednesday 7 October: Colombia v Peru in the Friendlies, played at Hard Rock Stadium.
Current form
Colombia, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Paraguay, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Peru, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Canada, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Colombia, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Peru.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colombia 2.2 xG, Peru 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 50% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colombia 69%, draw 21%, Peru 10%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Colombia to win (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colombia 2–0 Peru. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colombia69%fair 1.46 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.00
Peru10%fair 9.70 · @7.50
2.92Expected goals
2.17Colombia xG
0.75Peru xG
50%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Colombia 2.2 – 0.8 Peru expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colombia to win✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Double chance
Colombia or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.55
Draw no bet
Colombia (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Colombia -1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Colombia to score first✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Colombia ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colombia / FT Colombia✗
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
10.91
–
Recent results
Colombia – last 6
LDDWDW
3 Oct
vs Paraguay
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ Mexico
1–1
D
7 Jul
@ Switzerland
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Ghana
1–0
W
28 Jun
vs Portugal
0–0
D
24 Jun
vs Congo DR
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Peru – last 6
LDLLWD
3 Oct
@ Canada
0–2
L
30 Sep
@ Mexico
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ USA
1–4
L
9 Jun
vs Spain
1–3
L
6 Jun
@ Haiti
2–1
W
31 Mar
vs Honduras
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colombia and Peru.
Our pick is Colombia to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Colombia vs Peru?
On our numbers Colombia have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Peru 10%.
How many goals will there be in Colombia vs Peru?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colombia vs Peru?
Our predicted score is Colombia 2–0 Peru, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Colombia vs Peru?
Colombia vs Peru (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 00:45 (West Africa Time) at Hard Rock Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Argentina3
Benin0
USA1
Canada0
Mexico0
Chile2