USA 59%Draw 22%Canada 19%Expected goals 2.00 – 1.07
81%
Betarazi pick
USA or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultUSA to win ✓59% · @1.73
Double chanceUSA or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
USA vs Canada: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 7 October the Friendlies brings USA against Canada at Allianz Field. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT.
Current form
USA, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Mexico, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Canada, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Peru, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give USA 2.0 xG, Canada 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – USA 59%, draw 22%, Canada 19%.
Lower-risk option: USA or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was USA or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: USA 1–1 Canada. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
USA59%fair 1.71 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.70
Canada19%fair 5.14 · @3.80
3.07Expected goals
2.00USA xG
1.07Canada xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: USA 2.0 – 1.1 Canada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
USA to win✓
59%
1.71
1.73
Double chance
USA or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.55
Draw no bet
USA (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Canada +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
First team to score
USA to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
USA ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT USA / FT USA✓
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
USA – last 6
WWWLWL
4 Oct
vs Mexico
3–0
W
30 Sep
vs Chile
4–2
W
26 Sep
vs Peru
4–1
W
7 Jul
vs Belgium
1–4
L
2 Jul
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
2–0
W
26 Jun
@ Türkiye
2–3
L
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Canada – last 6
WWLWLW
3 Oct
vs Peru
2–0
W
27 Sep
vs Chile
1–0
W
4 Jul
vs Morocco
0–3
L
28 Jun
@ South Africa
1–0
W
24 Jun
@ Switzerland
1–2
L
18 Jun
vs Qatar
6–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between USA and Canada.
Our pick is USA or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win USA vs Canada?
On our numbers USA have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Canada 19%.
How many goals will there be in USA vs Canada?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for USA vs Canada?
Our predicted score is USA 1–1 Canada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is USA vs Canada?
USA vs Canada (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Argentina3
Benin0
Colombia2
Peru0
Mexico0
Chile2