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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juventud v Deportivo Maldonado: numbers & prediction

Primera División Apertura · Uruguay · Parque Artigas
2–0
FT
Juventud 39%Draw 23%Deportivo Maldonado 38% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.23
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultJuventud to win ✓39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.33

Juventud vs Deportivo Maldonado: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Juventud v Deportivo Maldonado in the Primera División Apertura, played at Parque Artigas. In the table, Juventud are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Deportivo Maldonado are 4th (among the top four) with 22.

Current form

Juventud, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Oriental, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Deportivo Maldonado, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Penarol, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Juventud, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Deportivo Maldonado.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Deportivo Maldonado 0–0 Juventud. The last 2 head-to-heads: Juventud 0 wins, Deportivo Maldonado 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juventud 1.3 xG, Deportivo Maldonado 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juventud 39%, draw 23%, Deportivo Maldonado 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventud 1–1 Deportivo Maldonado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juventud39%fair 2.54 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Deportivo Maldonado38%fair 2.64 · @2.52
2.49Expected goals
1.26Juventud xG
1.23Deportivo Maldonado xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Juventud 1.3 – 1.2 Deportivo Maldonado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuventud to win ✓39%2.542.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.841.80
Draw no betJuventud (draw no bet) ✓51%1.96–
Asian handicapDeportivo Maldonado +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreJuventud to score first ✓46%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juventud / FT Juventud ✓21%4.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.33–

Recent results

Juventud – last 6

WWLDDW
26 Augvs Oriental1–0W
22 Aug@ Central Espanol1–0W
15 Augvs Atletico Torque0–1L
7 Aug@ Cerro Largo1–1D
1 Aug@ Deportivo Maldonado0–0D
17 Jul@ Albion FC1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Deportivo Maldonado – last 6

DWDDLD
22 Augvs Penarol0–0D
16 Aug@ Progreso2–0W
10 Augvs Racing Montevideo2–2D
1 Augvs Juventud0–0D
18 Jul@ Progreso0–1L
10 Julvs Albion FC1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Aug 2026Deportivo Maldonado v Juventud0–0
3 Mar 2026Deportivo Maldonado v Juventud2–1
Juventud vs Deportivo Maldonado head-to-head page →

Primera División Apertura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol351997+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado351898+2263
3Atletico Torque3519610+1863
4Club Nacional3519412+1161
5Racing Montevideo3516127+1460
6Liverpool Montevideo3516118+1659
7Wanderers3514912-251
8Albion FC3513814+347
9Juventud35101114-641
10Central Espanol3511816-1341
11Defensor Sporting3591214-839
12Cerro Largo3591016-837
13Boston River3510718-1337
14Cerro3510718-2437
15Progreso3510520-1835
16Danubio3561415-1632

More Primera División Apertura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventud vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Juventud vs Deportivo Maldonado?

On our numbers Juventud have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportivo Maldonado 38%.

How many goals will there be in Juventud vs Deportivo Maldonado?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juventud vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Our predicted score is Juventud 1–1 Deportivo Maldonado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Juventud vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Juventud vs Deportivo Maldonado (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Artigas.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.