Boston River 60%Draw 25%Cerro 15%Expected goals 1.60 – 0.66
85%
Betarazi pick
Boston River or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Boston River to win @ 1.88 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBoston River to win ✗60% · @1.88
Double chanceBoston River or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Boston River vs Cerro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the Primera División Apertura brings Boston River against Cerro at Parque Artigas. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Boston River are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Cerro are 9th (lower half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Boston River, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Albion FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Cerro, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Liverpool Montevideo, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cerro, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Boston River.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Cerro 1–1 Boston River.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Boston River 1.6 xG, Cerro 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Boston River 60%, draw 25%, Cerro 15%.
Lower-risk option: Boston River or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Boston River to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Boston River or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boston River 1–0 Cerro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Boston River60%fair 1.67 · @1.88
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.15
Cerro15%fair 6.67 · @4.10
2.27Expected goals
1.60Boston River xG
0.66Cerro xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Boston River 1.6 – 0.7 Cerro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Boston River or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Boston River vs Cerro?
On our numbers Boston River have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cerro 15%.
How many goals will there be in Boston River vs Cerro?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boston River vs Cerro?
Our predicted score is Boston River 1–0 Cerro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Boston River vs Cerro?
Boston River vs Cerro (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Artigas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
