Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.79
Kenya Police vs Ulinzi Stars: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kenya Police welcome Ulinzi Stars for a FKF Premier League fixture on Thursday 29 October (14:15 WAT). In the table, Kenya Police are 4th, among the top four, on 9 points after 6 matches; Ulinzi Stars are 14th (lower half) with 6. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ulinzi Stars, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Homeboyz, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kenya Police 1.3 xG, Ulinzi Stars 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kenya Police 56%, draw 27%, Ulinzi Stars 17%.
Lower-risk option: Kenya Police or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kenya Police 1–0 Ulinzi Stars. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kenya Police56%fair 1.78 · @1.83
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.00
Ulinzi Stars17%fair 5.86 · @4.33
1.81Expected goals
1.27Kenya Police xG
0.53Ulinzi Stars xG
39%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
0–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Kenya Police 1.3 – 0.5 Ulinzi Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kenya Police to win✓
56%
1.78
1.83
Double chance
Kenya Police or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
–
Draw no bet
Kenya Police (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Ulinzi Stars +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Kenya Police to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kenya Police / FT Kenya Police✓
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
21%
4.79
–
Recent results
Kenya Police – last 1
L
20 Oct
vs AFC Leopards
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ulinzi Stars – last 6
DLWDWW
18 Oct
@ Homeboyz
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Tusker
0–2
L
2 Oct
vs Mathare United
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Mara Sugar
0–0
D
31 May
@ Posta Rangers FC
1–0
W
27 May
vs Tusker
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kenya Police and Ulinzi Stars.
What is the prediction for Kenya Police vs Ulinzi Stars?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Kenya Police vs Ulinzi Stars?
On our numbers Kenya Police have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ulinzi Stars 17%.
How many goals will there be in Kenya Police vs Ulinzi Stars?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kenya Police vs Ulinzi Stars?
Our predicted score is Kenya Police 1–0 Ulinzi Stars, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Kenya Police vs Ulinzi Stars?
Kenya Police vs Ulinzi Stars (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
