Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗65% · fair 1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.61
Shabana vs Migori Youth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Migori Youth travel to face Shabana on Thursday 29 October in the FKF Premier League – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Shabana are 5th, upper half, on 9 points after 6 matches; Migori Youth are 12th (lower half) with 6. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Shabana, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with AFC Leopards, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Migori Youth, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Police, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Migori Youth, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Shabana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shabana 0.8 xG, Migori Youth 0.5 xG – a total near 1.3. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shabana 47%, draw 25%, Migori Youth 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.32, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shabana 0–0 Migori Youth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shabana47%fair 2.14 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.75
Migori Youth28%fair 3.57 · @3.50
1.33Expected goals
0.82Shabana xG
0.51Migori Youth xG
35%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–027%
1–022%
0–114%
1–111%
2–09%
2–15%
From our goals model: Shabana 0.8 – 0.5 Migori Youth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shabana to win✗
47%
2.14
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
–
Draw no bet
Shabana (draw no bet)
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Migori Youth +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.40 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
First team to score
Shabana to score first✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.61
–
Recent results
Shabana – last 6
DDWLLD
25 Oct
@ AFC Leopards
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Nairobi United
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Posta Rangers FC
1–0
W
2 Oct
vs Police
0–1
L
31 May
vs KCB
1–2
L
24 May
@ Sofapaka
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Migori Youth – last 6
DWDDWW
11 Oct
vs Police
1–1
D
2 Oct
vs Mombasa Elite
2–0
W
11 Sep
vs Mathare United
0–0
D
13 Jun
@ 3K
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Equity Bank
2–1
W
1 Jun
@ Kisumu All Stars
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shabana and Migori Youth.
What is the prediction for Shabana vs Migori Youth?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Shabana vs Migori Youth?
On our numbers Shabana have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Migori Youth 28%.
How many goals will there be in Shabana vs Migori Youth?
We expect about 1.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shabana vs Migori Youth?
Our predicted score is Shabana 0–0 Migori Youth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.3 goals in total.
When is Shabana vs Migori Youth?
Shabana vs Migori Youth (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
