Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: AFC Leopards to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAFC Leopards to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceAFC Leopards or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.58
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.55
3K vs AFC Leopards: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
3K welcome AFC Leopards for a FKF Premier League fixture on Saturday 7 November (14:15 WAT). In the table, 3K are 7th, upper half, on 9 points after 6 matches; AFC Leopards are 3rd (among the top four) with 10. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
3K, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to APS Bomet, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
AFC Leopards, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mara Sugar, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give 3K 0.6 xG, AFC Leopards 1.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – 3K 16%, draw 26%, AFC Leopards 57%.
Lower-risk option: AFC Leopards or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.58.
Price worth noting: AFC Leopards to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: 3K 0–1 AFC Leopards. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
3K16%fair 6.14 · @3.72
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.04
AFC Leopards57%fair 1.74 · @1.91
2.09Expected goals
0.633K xG
1.46AFC Leopards xG
48%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–213%
0–012%
1–111%
1–28%
1–08%
From our goals model: 3K 0.6 – 1.5 AFC Leopards expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Leopards to win✗
57%
1.74
1.91 ▲
Double chance
AFC Leopards or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.58
Draw no bet
AFC Leopards (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
3K +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.49
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
AFC Leopards to score first✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Leopards / FT AFC Leopards✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.55
–
Recent results
3K – last 6
LWDDWD
28 Oct
@ APS Bomet
0–3
L
25 Oct
vs Murang'a SEAL
2–1
W
19 Oct
@ Bandari
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Mara Sugar
2–2
D
2 Oct
@ Posta Rangers FC
2–1
W
13 Jun
vs Migori Youth
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AFC Leopards – last 6
DDWDWL
28 Oct
@ Mara Sugar
0–0
D
25 Oct
vs Shabana
0–0
D
20 Oct
@ Kenya Police
2–1
W
14 Oct
vs Bandari
0–0
D
2 Oct
vs Homeboyz
2–0
W
31 May
vs Bidco United
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 3K and AFC Leopards.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win 3K vs AFC Leopards?
On our numbers 3K have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 26% and AFC Leopards 57%.
How many goals will there be in 3K vs AFC Leopards?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 3K vs AFC Leopards?
Our predicted score is 3K 0–1 AFC Leopards, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is 3K vs AFC Leopards?
3K vs AFC Leopards (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
