Mara Sugar 38%Draw 26%Migori Youth 36%Expected goals 1.00 – 0.96
68%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultMara Sugar to win ✓38% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.56
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.12
Mara Sugar vs Migori Youth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Migori Youth travel to face Mara Sugar on Saturday 7 November in the FKF Premier League – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Mara Sugar are 6th, upper half, on 9 points after 6 matches; Migori Youth are 12th (lower half) with 6. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mara Sugar, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with AFC Leopards, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Migori Youth, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shabana, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Migori Youth, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Mara Sugar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mara Sugar 1.0 xG, Migori Youth 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mara Sugar 38%, draw 26%, Migori Youth 36%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.56.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mara Sugar 1–0 Migori Youth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mara Sugar38%fair 2.63 · @2.68
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @2.66
Migori Youth36%fair 2.79 · @2.68
1.97Expected goals
1.00Mara Sugar xG
0.96Migori Youth xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mara Sugar 1.0 – 1.0 Migori Youth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mara Sugar to win✓
38%
2.63
2.68
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.56
Draw no bet
Mara Sugar (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Migori Youth +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.09
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Mara Sugar to score first
44%
2.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.12
–
Recent results
Mara Sugar – last 6
DWDLDL
28 Oct
vs AFC Leopards
0–0
D
19 Oct
vs Mombasa Elite
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ 3K
2–2
D
2 Oct
@ Tusker
1–3
L
11 Sep
@ Ulinzi Stars
0–0
D
31 May
@ Murang'a SEAL
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Migori Youth – last 6
DDWDDW
29 Oct
@ Shabana
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Police
1–1
D
2 Oct
vs Mombasa Elite
2–0
W
11 Sep
vs Mathare United
0–0
D
13 Jun
@ 3K
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Equity Bank
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mara Sugar and Migori Youth.
What is the prediction for Mara Sugar vs Migori Youth?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Mara Sugar vs Migori Youth?
On our numbers Mara Sugar have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Migori Youth 36%.
How many goals will there be in Mara Sugar vs Migori Youth?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mara Sugar vs Migori Youth?
Our predicted score is Mara Sugar 1–0 Migori Youth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Mara Sugar vs Migori Youth?
Mara Sugar vs Migori Youth (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
