Value bet: Shabana to win @ 2.35 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultShabana to win ✓48% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.61
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.46
Mombasa Elite vs Shabana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shabana travel to face Mombasa Elite on Saturday 7 November in the FKF Premier League – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Mombasa Elite are 18th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 6 matches; Shabana are 5th (upper half) with 9.
Current form
Mombasa Elite, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to KCB, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Shabana, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Migori Youth, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mombasa Elite 0.7 xG, Shabana 1.1 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mombasa Elite 27%, draw 25%, Shabana 48%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.61.
Price worth noting: Shabana to win @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mombasa Elite 0–1 Shabana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mombasa Elite27%fair 3.65 · @2.94
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.80
Shabana48%fair 2.09 · @2.35
1.77Expected goals
0.70Mombasa Elite xG
1.07Shabana xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–017%
1–113%
1–012%
0–210%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mombasa Elite 0.7 – 1.1 Shabana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shabana to win✓
48%
2.09
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.31
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.61
Draw no bet
Shabana (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Mombasa Elite +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.51
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.41
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.10
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
97%
1.04
–
First team to score
Shabana to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shabana / FT Shabana✓
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.46
–
Recent results
Mombasa Elite – last 6
LLLLWD
28 Oct
@ KCB
1–3
L
19 Oct
@ Mara Sugar
1–2
L
14 Oct
vs Homeboyz
0–1
L
2 Oct
@ Migori Youth
0–2
L
1 Oct
vs Kariobangi Sharks
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Police
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Shabana – last 6
DDDWLL
29 Oct
vs Migori Youth
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ AFC Leopards
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Nairobi United
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Posta Rangers FC
1–0
W
2 Oct
vs Police
0–1
L
31 May
vs KCB
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mombasa Elite and Shabana.
What is the prediction for Mombasa Elite vs Shabana?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Mombasa Elite vs Shabana?
On our numbers Mombasa Elite have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shabana 48%.
How many goals will there be in Mombasa Elite vs Shabana?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mombasa Elite vs Shabana?
Our predicted score is Mombasa Elite 0–1 Shabana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Mombasa Elite vs Shabana?
Mombasa Elite vs Shabana (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
